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DIGEST 2006 - Sabita

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oads. These considerations<br />

influence the optimal upgrading<br />

quotient in opposite directions, but<br />

there is no reason to suppose that<br />

they neatly cancel each other out.)<br />

of economic analysis. Let us now<br />

consider the shadow-priced<br />

benefits of road surfacing that<br />

should also be factored into<br />

evaluation.<br />

In any case, this conservative<br />

conclusion arises only prior to<br />

considering other relevant benefits<br />

of paved surfaces and costs of<br />

gravel ones. Before we turn to the<br />

domains where shadow pricing is<br />

concerned, one direct financial<br />

cost factor, which can’t yet be<br />

quantified because it is speculative<br />

but will turn up on public books as<br />

a market price rather than a<br />

shadow price, must be taken into<br />

account. This is that new gravel is<br />

becoming scarce in SA, so its price<br />

is sure to rise.<br />

Municipalities are no<br />

longer allowed to<br />

open new pits without<br />

performing<br />

environmental impact<br />

assessments, which<br />

are beyond the<br />

resource capacity of<br />

most rural<br />

authorities. In<br />

addition, in many<br />

in stances in south ern<br />

Af rica, op ti mal<br />

materials for gravel<br />

roads are con cen trated un der<br />

ar a ble land that has higher<br />

opportunity value as farmland<br />

than as gravel. Thus, on the ba sis<br />

of con struc tion and main te nance<br />

costs alone, we should ex pect the<br />

thresh old for sur fac ing, what ever<br />

ad di tional con sid er ations we use<br />

to determine it, to drop in SA.<br />

However, as noted, accounting for<br />

these costs is only the beginning<br />

Municipalities<br />

are no longer<br />

allowed to open<br />

new pits without<br />

performing<br />

environmental<br />

impact<br />

assessments<br />

• Because of the dust they<br />

spread onto crops, wildlife<br />

and people, gravel roads<br />

impose heavier<br />

environmental costs than<br />

surfaced ones. Dust causes<br />

allergies and respiratory<br />

illness, especially in small<br />

children. People must clean<br />

their homes, businesses and<br />

vehicles more often in dusty<br />

conditions, and this is not a<br />

cost that should be ignored<br />

simply because it is not borne<br />

by the state. It<br />

is, after all, still<br />

borne by the<br />

country on the<br />

dimension that<br />

ultimately<br />

counts for<br />

most, viz.,<br />

reduced<br />

productivity.<br />

Even seemingly<br />

trivial expenses<br />

can produce<br />

high overall<br />

costs when<br />

multiplied by<br />

enough people and hours in<br />

calculating aggregate shadow<br />

prices. To my knowledge, no<br />

one has ever tried to<br />

estimate the costs of road<br />

dust in any jurisdiction. The<br />

task would be quite<br />

demanding. It is surely worth<br />

doing, however, because the<br />

resulting magnitude might be<br />

surprising to many, and thus<br />

might in turn help people not<br />

21

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