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DIGEST 2006 - Sabita

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elative<br />

fluctuation by<br />

increasing our<br />

proportion of<br />

gravel used,<br />

at a point<br />

where the<br />

supply of<br />

domestic<br />

gravel is<br />

facing new<br />

constraints,<br />

this can only<br />

push up the<br />

expected cost<br />

of gravel.<br />

Secondly –<br />

and much<br />

more<br />

importantly –<br />

basic<br />

materials are far from the largest<br />

cost component of either surfaced<br />

or gravel roads. In the case of<br />

bitumen roads, costs of labour,<br />

plant, investigation, design, road<br />

marking, signage and other inputs<br />

make up a minimum of 75% of<br />

total construction and<br />

maintenance costs.<br />

Labour intensive methods<br />

With the exception of plant these<br />

additional inputs are mainly<br />

domestically produced – and to<br />

the extent that we increase<br />

emphasis on labour-intensive<br />

methods, machinery can be<br />

increasingly domestically sourced<br />

as well. By contrast, the largest<br />

cost component by far in<br />

construction and maintenance of<br />

gravel roads is haulage associated<br />

with the replacement of lost<br />

wearing course gravel. Gravel is<br />

heavy. It is most often carried in<br />

Figure 2 (Source StatsSA)<br />

trucks. Trucks run on petroleum<br />

(diesel) fuel. This expenditure,<br />

unlike increased expenditure on<br />

bitumen, occurs beyond the first<br />

year of a road project. Thus the<br />

proportional impact of rising fuel<br />

prices on road construction costs<br />

goes steadily upward for gravel<br />

relative to bitumen as time<br />

horizons are extended. To the<br />

extent that rising fuel prices are<br />

expected to be a negative external<br />

shock on road budgets, their<br />

proportionate impact is greater<br />

than on surfaced road prices given<br />

the use of the discount rate<br />

employed for most public<br />

investment purposes.<br />

Third, because the proportion of<br />

gravel road cost inflators (diesel<br />

fuel and heavy machinery) that<br />

must be imported are higher than<br />

for surfaced roads, factoring<br />

exchange rate risks into<br />

comparative NPV calculations also<br />

25

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