19.06.2014 Views

DIGEST 2006 - Sabita

DIGEST 2006 - Sabita

DIGEST 2006 - Sabita

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

double that for two-lane<br />

surfaced roads, and the<br />

composition of fatalities<br />

among accidents on gravel<br />

(10.9%) is higher than on<br />

2-lane paved roads (7.8%),<br />

and much higher than on<br />

full-speed freeways (3.2%).<br />

Thus effects of differences in<br />

vehicle control strongly<br />

appear to swamp differences<br />

in driving speed where<br />

accident harm is concerned;<br />

• Gravel roads<br />

cannot, like<br />

bituminous ones,<br />

be constructed<br />

and maintained<br />

entirely using<br />

small equipment<br />

that can be<br />

operated by<br />

unskilled people;<br />

thus they fail to take into<br />

account SA’s abundance of<br />

underutilised labour, and are<br />

less effective at developing<br />

human capital in small<br />

contractors. National<br />

Government’s Extended<br />

Public Works Programme<br />

(EPWP) mandates that<br />

wherever labour-intensive<br />

methods can be deployed for<br />

the same budget outlay as<br />

capital-intensive methods,<br />

the former should be<br />

favoured. In fact this is too<br />

conservative, using an<br />

accounting measure of value<br />

where an economic measure<br />

would be more appropriate.<br />

Use of small contractors in<br />

road construction and<br />

maintenance builds human<br />

capital in the form of<br />

management, tendering and<br />

investment skills, with the<br />

acquisition of manually<br />

operated surfacing equipment<br />

an additional benefit. Since<br />

such capital is an economic<br />

asset with future multipliers,<br />

we should not implicitly set<br />

our willingness to invest in it<br />

at zero, as the EPWP<br />

presently does.<br />

It is unfortunately not possible<br />

here to attempt a quantitative<br />

estimate of the<br />

human capital<br />

investment value<br />

accruing to<br />

surfaced road<br />

construction and<br />

maintenance over<br />

gravel road<br />

construction and<br />

maintenance. The<br />

issue has been<br />

confused in many discussions by<br />

benchmarking targets of ‘numbers<br />

of jobs’.<br />

.... capital is<br />

an economic<br />

asset with<br />

future<br />

multipliers<br />

Unlike human capital, ‘jobs’ are<br />

not assets since they are functions<br />

of overall productivity in the<br />

economy, are not fixed in extent,<br />

and do not have opportunity costs<br />

in the strict sense.<br />

Over the coming year, I and my<br />

graduate students at UCT hope to<br />

make progress against this<br />

confusion and produce a first<br />

quantitative estimate of the<br />

potential value in human capital<br />

creation of labour-intensive<br />

roadwork. In the meantime, we<br />

must be content with noting that<br />

whatever effect this has on the<br />

shadow price of gravel, the<br />

direction of the influence is clear<br />

and must further reduce the<br />

23

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!