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American Cryptology during the Cold War - The Black Vault

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Ib) (1)<br />

Ib) (3) -P.L. 86-36<br />

Ib) (3) -50 USC 403<br />

Ib) (3) -18 USC 798<br />

done <strong>during</strong> World <strong>War</strong> II, requested CO~IINT information from both Communist and<br />

Nationalist communications.<br />

ASA mounted a small effortag~instboth <strong>the</strong> Nationalists and Communists.0<br />

__~~_~<br />

IASA could still report that <strong>the</strong> two sides were far apart,\ancl it<br />

was obvious from <strong>the</strong> COMINT traffic that <strong>the</strong>y were determined to settle <strong>the</strong>ir differences<br />

on <strong>the</strong> battlefield. <strong>The</strong> Marshall mission was withdrawn in 1946, and in October 01\1949<br />

Mao triumphed.<br />

Following <strong>the</strong> withdrawal of :he Marshall mission, <strong>the</strong> COMINT mission against China<br />

suffered, as ASA employed all available resources against <strong>the</strong> So7t tarlret.1\,\<br />

security problems.28<br />

IASA kp.nt only a small section against Chinese civil communications<br />

I Collection resources were concentrated a~<br />

When <strong>American</strong> and South Korean troops crossed <strong>the</strong> 38th Parallel, <strong>the</strong> Chinese had<br />

already decided to intervene in North Korea. <strong>The</strong> decision was taken at a meeting in<br />

Beijing from 3 to 7 October 1950. On <strong>the</strong> first day of <strong>the</strong> conference, Chinese foreign<br />

minister Chou En-Lai called Indian ambassador Panikkar to tellhim of<strong>the</strong> decision, and<br />

Panikkar relayed this news to <strong>the</strong> West. But Indians were regarded as pathologically leftleaning,<br />

and Panikkar's communique was disbelieved. Chou's warning was followed up by<br />

Chinese radio broadcasts, but <strong>the</strong>se, too, were disregarded. 29<br />

Historian Clay Blair asserts that "when MacArthur returned to Tokyo from Wake<br />

Island [in mid-October] he had no inkling of<strong>the</strong> CCF armies ga<strong>the</strong>ring in North Korea." so<br />

This was wrong. AFSA had clear and convincing evidence of <strong>the</strong> massing of Chinese<br />

troops north of <strong>the</strong> Yalu and had published it in product reports available to <strong>the</strong> JCS, <strong>the</strong><br />

White House, and to MacArthur. As early as July, AFSAbegan noting references in<br />

Chinese civil communications to army units moving north.• Rail hubs in central China<br />

were jammed with soldiers on <strong>the</strong>ir way to Manchuria.• By September AFSA had<br />

identified six of <strong>the</strong> nine field armies that were later involved in <strong>the</strong> fighting in North<br />

Korea and had located <strong>the</strong>m in Manchuria, near <strong>the</strong> Korean border. Ferries at Anshan (on<br />

<strong>the</strong> Yalu River) were being reserved for military use. Maps of Korea were being ordered in<br />

large quantities. On 7 November, in voice communications intercepted and published by<br />

<strong>the</strong> COMINT communityI<br />

fstated, "We are already at war<br />

here."S!<br />

I<br />

fh\UBLJ!J '4 fA 'fALJ!JI,T I{J!J i'II6LJ!J e6MlIfT e6I,Tft6L B 1 STflMBi16IIfTLY<br />

I,6T ftflLf!lA:SA:8LEl 'fe peRElISn ?tATI8nlrcS<br />

1'OP SECRET l:JMBRA 44

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