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December 2012 Number 1 - Utah Native Plant Society

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<strong>Utah</strong> <strong>Native</strong> <strong>Plant</strong> <strong>Society</strong><br />

Table 2. Total number of training and test points used in the model and the overall AUC value for the<br />

model. Predictor variable with the highest AUC value when used in isolation and the variable with the least<br />

predictive power for each species.<br />

Species<br />

# Training<br />

Samples<br />

# Test<br />

Samples<br />

Test<br />

AUC<br />

66<br />

Least Predictive<br />

Variable<br />

AUC<br />

Highest Predictive<br />

Variable<br />

Abronia argillosa 28 12 0.9759 Slope Aspect 0.5681 BIO 9 0.9039<br />

Agave utahensis ssp.<br />

kaibabensis<br />

AUC<br />

12 5 0.9933 BIO 19 0.372 BIO 15 0.9724<br />

Aliciella haydenii 14 5 0.9903 BIO 5 0.4052 BIO 11 0.8754<br />

Amsonia jonesii 47 20 0.9789 Slope Angle 0.6246 BIO 18 0.8829<br />

Amsonia peeblesii 31 12 0.9979 Slope Aspect 0.7798 BIO 14 0.9554<br />

Aquilegia grahamii 8 3 0.9955 BIO 17 0.3579 BIO 15 0.9371<br />

Aquilegia loriae 10 4 0.9994 BIO 10 0.4245 BIO 11 0.9758<br />

Argemone arizonica 8 3 0.9817 BIO 19 0.3105 Slope Angle 0.8387<br />

Argemone corymbosa ssp.<br />

arenicola<br />

7 2 0.9998 BIO 2 0.3846 BIO 16 0.9845<br />

Asclepias cutleri 20 8 0.8857 Geology 0.5897 BIO 14 0.9104<br />

Asclepias welshii 15 6 0.9802 BIO 2 0.649 BIO 11 0.9563<br />

Astragalus ampullarius 26 10 0.9957 Slope Angle 0.5299 BIO 15 0.9392<br />

Astragalus beathii 21 9 0.9994 Slope Angle 0.5269 Geology 0.9521<br />

Astragalus consobrinus 11 4 0.997 Slope Aspect 0.5 BIO 11 0.9555<br />

Astragalus cronquistii 48 20 0.9989 Slope Angle 0.6139 BIO 15 0.9437<br />

Astragalus debequaeus 63 26 0.89 Slope Aspect 0.6442 BIO 9 0.975<br />

Astragalus desperatus var.<br />

conspectus<br />

Astragalus desperatus var.<br />

petrophilus<br />

17 6 0.9989 Slope Aspect 0.4179 BIO 11 0.9945<br />

21 8 0.9991 Slope Angle 0.3093 BIO 12 0.9643<br />

Astragalus deterior 83 35 0.9997 Slope Aspect 0.6219 BIO 8 0.9842<br />

Astragalus detritalis 24 10 0.9075 Slope Aspect 0.4536 BIO 11 0.9654<br />

Astragalus duchesnensis 56 23 0.9981 Slope Angle 0.7779 BIO 7 0.9799<br />

Astragalus eastwoodiae 14 6 0.9851 BIO 10 0.4144 BIO 11 0.906<br />

Astragalus episcopus var.<br />

lancearius<br />

8 3 0.9595 BIO 8 0.4212 BIO 16 0.836<br />

Astragalus hamiltonii 11 4 0.759 Slope Angle 0.4996 BIO 16 0.9884<br />

Astragalus henrimontanensis<br />

10 4 0.9996 Slope Aspect 0.4454 Geology 0.9316<br />

Astragalus humillimus 19 7 0.9988 Slope Aspect 0.6221 BIO 4 0.9775<br />

Astragalus iodopetalus 33 14 0.9985 Slope Aspect 0.7224 BIO 7 0.9746<br />

Astragalus iselyi 16 6 0.999 Slope Aspect 0.7312 BIO 8 0.9718

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