Mr. Erik Milito - The House Committee on Natural Resources ...

January 2012
TABLE 3 – NET (Alternative Minus Baseline)
Natural Gas Liquids Production, million barrels
Increase in production relative to amount associated with baseline number of leases and permits issued
Year
Colorado
Montana
New Mexico
North Dakota
Utah
Wyoming
Total
2011
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.3
1.0
2012
0.3
0.0
2.2
0.0
0.4
1.4
4.3
2013
0.3
0.0
2.6
0.0
0.5
1.6
5.0
2014
0.4
0.0
3.5
0.0
0.6
2.1
6.7
2015
0.5
0.0
4.1
0.0
0.7
2.4
7.8
Average
0.3
0.0
2.6
0.0
0.5
1.6
5.0
Source: Economics International Corp. calculations based on information from BLM Oil & Gas Statistics (2010) and
ICF International Rocky Mountain Forecasts (2011)
When it comes to oil production, (Table 4), returning to the 2007/2008 average level of leases and permits issued would
result in a 9.9 million barrel a year average increase on federal lands in western states oil production over the 2011-2015
period relative to the production that would occur under 2009/2010 average leasing and permitting levels.
A return to 2007/2008 federal leasing, permitting and new drilling levels would generate a projected average of 3.6
million additional barrels of oil each year over the next 5 years from the state of Wyoming alone. In Utah, oil production
would grow by an average of 1.4 million barrels each year over the next 5 years under a return to 2007/2008 federal land
productivity measures. And North Dakota would experience an average 800,000 barrel per year jump each year over the
projected horizon.
Figure 13:
Oil Production From Leases on BLM Lands*
*Western States (Includes Colorado, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah and Wyoming)
Source: Economics International Corp. calculations based on information from BLM Oil & Gas
Statistics (2010) and ICF International Rocky Mountain Forecasts (2011)
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