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Mr. Erik Milito - The House Committee on Natural Resources ...

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www.woodmac.com<br />

Current Path Case - Assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> “Current Path Case” assumes the following policy and regulatory initiatives:<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>tinued “slow walk” of Federal permitting for offshore Gulf of Mexico<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> case assumes an increase from current offshore explorati<strong>on</strong> and development activity levels, but not<br />

back to pre-Moratorium rates<br />

• Tighter Federal hydraulic fracturing and water disposal regulati<strong>on</strong>s which are bey<strong>on</strong>d the current<br />

state regulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Slow down of <strong>on</strong>shore drilling due to increased cost of well completi<strong>on</strong>s. Results in a negative impact <strong>on</strong><br />

development ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

• No opening of new areas for explorati<strong>on</strong> and development<br />

• No new explorati<strong>on</strong> and development in fr<strong>on</strong>tier areas of Alaska, Eastern Gulf of Mexico, Atlantic and Pacific<br />

offshore, and Federal Rockies<br />

• Restricti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> new pipeline development from Canada<br />

• Curtailment of oil sands pipeline infrastructure into the U.S.. No development of the Keyst<strong>on</strong>e XL pipeline or<br />

other future Canada to U.S. pipelines<br />

© Wood Mackenzie 9<br />

Delivering commercial insight

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