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Mr. Erik Milito - The House Committee on Natural Resources ...

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www.woodmac.com<br />

Methodology – Employment Estimati<strong>on</strong> Base (2010) Level<br />

• Wood Mackenzie has derived the base count for the Current Path Case jobs numbers from the 2008<br />

Implan database<br />

• Wood Mackenzie took these direct employment numbers for the upstream sector, then added a<br />

multiplier of 2.5 for indirect and induced (income related) jobs per direct job. This multiplier is likely<br />

c<strong>on</strong>servative given that total employment multipliers for the oil and natural gas sector estimated by<br />

BEA are in the rage of 5 to 7 total jobs per 1 direct jobs<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> combined direct, indirect and induced job counts gives the total ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact for the<br />

upstream sector across the U.S.<br />

• Since these numbers were calculated for 2008, Wood Mackenzie used a producti<strong>on</strong> ratio to derive<br />

the 2010 base job count per state<br />

• <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> ratio is defined as a ratio of 2010 producti<strong>on</strong> in boed divided by 2008 producti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Future base job counts for the Current Path Case are derived by using future producti<strong>on</strong> ratios<br />

generated from dividing future producti<strong>on</strong> by 2010 producti<strong>on</strong> levels<br />

© Wood Mackenzie 18<br />

Delivering commercial insight

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