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Impact of Climate Change on Arab Countries - (IPCC) - Working ...

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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE 45<br />

VII. CONCLUSION<br />

In the <strong>Arab</strong> world, segments <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> coastal areas are<br />

important and highly populated centres <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> industry,<br />

manufacturing and commerce. With its nearly<br />

34,000 km <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> coastline, the <strong>Arab</strong> world is susceptible<br />

to sea level rise. The potential exposure <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

many <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> its countries and cities such as<br />

Alexandria, Dubai and many more to the impact<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sea level rise may be fairly significant, based <strong>on</strong><br />

today’s socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> in coastal areas.<br />

After accounting for future development and<br />

populati<strong>on</strong> growth in these regi<strong>on</strong>s, sea level rise<br />

has been shown to pose important policy questi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

regarding present and future development<br />

plans and investment decisi<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

Notably, urbanized sandy coasts have been extensively<br />

cited as particularly vulnerable if future<br />

development is c<strong>on</strong>centrated close to the shoreline<br />

and if sensitive ecosystems exist in close proximity<br />

to these urbanized areas. Such regi<strong>on</strong>s will<br />

experience problems such as inundati<strong>on</strong>, coastal<br />

erosi<strong>on</strong> and impeded drainage. Moreover, the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinuing rapid and dense urban development<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> many areas in the <strong>Arab</strong> world would result in a<br />

dramatic alterati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the land surface, as natural<br />

vegetati<strong>on</strong> is removed and replaced by n<strong>on</strong>-evaporating,<br />

n<strong>on</strong>-transpiring surfaces. Under such circumstances,<br />

surface temperature <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these areas<br />

will rise by several degrees. On the l<strong>on</strong>g term,<br />

such urban Heat Island effect (UHI) could have<br />

severe negative c<strong>on</strong>sequences <strong>on</strong> the local weather<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the <strong>Arab</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>, which in turn would c<strong>on</strong>tribute<br />

significantly to global warming.<br />

Furthermore, the increasing frequency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> dust<br />

storms is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the serious envir<strong>on</strong>mental challenges<br />

facing the <strong>Arab</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>. Such storms would<br />

induce soil loss, decrease <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> precipitati<strong>on</strong> and agricultural<br />

productivity, dramatic reducti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> air<br />

quality and ultimately affect humanhealth.<br />

Although it seems that we are not totally prepared<br />

to face all such destructive effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the SLR, UHI<br />

and dust storms, recent advances in remote sensing,<br />

increased availability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high resoluti<strong>on</strong> space<br />

imagery and the accessibility to more detailed<br />

datasets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> digital elevati<strong>on</strong>, populati<strong>on</strong> and land<br />

cover-use, have all the potential to provide<br />

improved surveillance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> such negative effects and<br />

their associated impacts <strong>on</strong> the entire <strong>Arab</strong> world.<br />

Such observati<strong>on</strong>al data can then be used as a solid<br />

basis up<strong>on</strong> which policies could be made.<br />

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