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Impact of Climate Change on Arab Countries - (IPCC) - Working ...

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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE 71<br />

refers to changes in processes, practices, or structures<br />

to moderate or <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fset potential damages or<br />

to take advantage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> opportunities associated<br />

with changes in climate. It involves adjustments<br />

to reduce the vulnerability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> communities,<br />

regi<strong>on</strong>s, or activities to climatic change and variability<br />

(<strong>IPCC</strong>, 2001a).<br />

The high vulnerability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the agricultural sector<br />

in developing countries should place it at the top<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> priority lists <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> adaptati<strong>on</strong> plans. Although climate<br />

change is projected to have serious impacts<br />

<strong>on</strong> the agricultural sector in the <strong>Arab</strong> world, <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

modest efforts and steps are currently being taken<br />

in the areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> scientific research, mitigati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Agriculture has historically shown high levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

adaptability to climate variati<strong>on</strong>s. For cropping<br />

systems there are many potential ways to alter<br />

management to deal with projected climatic and<br />

atmospheric changes (Challinor et al., 2007).<br />

These adaptati<strong>on</strong>s include:<br />

a) Altering inputs such as varieties, species, fertilizer,<br />

and amounts and timing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong><br />

and other water management practices;<br />

b) Wider use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> simple technologies;<br />

c) Water management to prevent waterlogging,<br />

erosi<strong>on</strong> and nutrient leaching in areas with<br />

rainfall increases;<br />

d) Altering the timing or locati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cropping<br />

activities;<br />

e) Diversifying income by integrating other<br />

farming activities such as livestock raising;<br />

f) Improving the effectiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> pest, disease<br />

and weed management practices; and<br />

g) Using seas<strong>on</strong>al climate forecasting to reduce<br />

producti<strong>on</strong> risk.<br />

Many opti<strong>on</strong>s for policy-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate<br />

change have been identified for agriculture,<br />

forests and fisheries (Easterling et al., 2004).<br />

These can either involve adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities<br />

such as developing infrastructure or building the<br />

capacity to adapt in the broader user community<br />

and instituti<strong>on</strong>s, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten by changing the decisi<strong>on</strong><br />

making envir<strong>on</strong>ment under which managementlevel,<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities occur. Designing and<br />

applying nati<strong>on</strong>al adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies for the<br />

agriculture sector faces a group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> barriers,<br />

including limitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the existing scientific<br />

base, policy percepti<strong>on</strong>s under current c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

and pressures, poor adaptive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> rural<br />

communities, lack <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> financial support, and the<br />

absence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> an appropriate instituti<strong>on</strong>al framework.<br />

Medany et al. (2007) c<strong>on</strong>clude that designing an<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategy for the agriculture sector<br />

should c<strong>on</strong>sider the simple and low cost adaptati<strong>on</strong><br />

measures that may be inspired from traditi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

knowledge to meet local c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and to<br />

be compatible with sustainable development<br />

requirements. It is not preferable to use imported<br />

soluti<strong>on</strong>s based <strong>on</strong> high levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> technology and<br />

high initial costs. Moreover, technology and<br />

knowledge transfer activities are encouraged to<br />

support adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies. Addressing climate<br />

change mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> in development<br />

strategies means strengthening these strategies<br />

and increasing their efficiency and durability.<br />

Medany et al. (2007) recommend the following<br />

to enhance the planning <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong><br />

strategies for the agricultural sector under<br />

Egyptian c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s:<br />

• Improving the scientific capacity should be<br />

am<strong>on</strong>g the top priorities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> development planning.<br />

• Political and financial adopti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> adaptati<strong>on</strong><br />

strategies.<br />

• The bottom-up approach <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> planning and<br />

implementing adaptati<strong>on</strong> and mitigati<strong>on</strong><br />

strategies could be more efficient.<br />

• Developing community-based measures by<br />

stakeholders’ involvement in adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning,<br />

and improving the adaptive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the different human sectors.<br />

• Increasing the public awareness and improving<br />

the c<strong>on</strong>cept <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> climate and its relati<strong>on</strong> to envir<strong>on</strong>mental<br />

and human systems.<br />

• Improving adaptive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the community<br />

should be based <strong>on</strong> a clear scientific message,<br />

and enjoy str<strong>on</strong>g governmental support.<br />

Attaher et al. (2009) studied the farmers’ percepti<strong>on</strong><br />

for adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning in Nile Delta<br />

regi<strong>on</strong>, and c<strong>on</strong>cluded that farmers have a real<br />

initiative to act positively to reduce the impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

climate change. Moreover, although community<br />

engagement in adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning is very<br />

important, the scientific evaluati<strong>on</strong> should be<br />

taken into account to set a more practical list <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures.

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