Impact of Climate Change on Arab Countries - (IPCC) - Working ...

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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE 55 FIGURE 7 THE VULNERABILITY OF THE NILE DELTA REGION TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE. (CRS-BU, E. Ghoneim - AFED 2009 Report) Special analysis carried out for AFED Report by E. Ghoneim at the Center <strong>of</strong> Remote Sensing, Boston University er for planning. The World Bank study clearly shows that Qatar will be the most impacted country by sea level rise in terms <strong>of</strong> the percentage <strong>of</strong> vulnerable land area and in terms <strong>of</strong> the percentage <strong>of</strong> wetland affected by sea level rise. Egypt will be the most impacted from the points <strong>of</strong> view <strong>of</strong> percentage impact on GDP and agricultural production. Some specific sub-regional details are presented below: Mediterranean Sea countries The Nile Delta region and the cities <strong>of</strong> Alexandria, Rosetta and Port Said and their vicinity are undoubtedly the most vulnerable areas in the North African region (e.g., El Raey et al., 1995; El Raey, 1997a). The Nile Delta region is vulnerable to the direct risk <strong>of</strong> inundation <strong>of</strong> low land areas and the coastal areas already below sea level and it is also vulnerable to salt water intrusion and increasing soil salinity <strong>of</strong> agricultural land. It is estimated that a population <strong>of</strong> over six million people lives in these vulnerable areas and these may have to move away and abandon these areas. Noting that the Nile Delta region produces over 60% <strong>of</strong> the agricultural production <strong>of</strong> Egypt and the above mentioned cities host more than 50% <strong>of</strong> the industrial and economic activities <strong>of</strong> the country, it is expected that the potential losses in Egypt will be extremely high if no action is taken. One <strong>of</strong> the most important coastal problems is coastal erosion, which is also expected to change due to alterations <strong>of</strong> the coastal circulation pattern in the region due to climate changes. Figure 6 shows the dynamics <strong>of</strong> coastal erosion in the highly vulnerable region <strong>of</strong> Rosetta city and its vicinity. The rates <strong>of</strong> coastal erosion <strong>of</strong> the Rosetta promontory, for instance, due to losses <strong>of</strong>
56 CHAPTER 4 COASTAL AREAS FIGURE 8 A SEA LEVEL RISE EXPLORER IMAGE ILLUSTRATING THE VULNERABILITY OF MANY OF THE ARAB GULF STATES AS WELL AS IRAQ TO POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE Source: Sea Level Rise Explorer, 2009 FIGURE 9 THE VULNERABILITY OF THE COASTAL ZONE OF THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES. (CRS-BU, E. Ghoneim - AFED 2009 Report) Special analysis carried out for AFED Report by E. Ghoneim at the Center <strong>of</strong> Remote Sensing, Boston University
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Arab Environment: Climate</
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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE II
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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE V
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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE VI
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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE IX
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XII INTRODUCTION A number o
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XIV INTRODUCTION nology cooperation
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XVI INTRODUCTION The respondents to
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XVIII INTRODUCTION activities based
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XX INTRODUCTION by climate change.
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XXII INTRODUCTION REGIONAL CLIMATE
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CHAPTER 1 1 Arab Public Opinion and
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ARAB ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE 3
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CHAPTER 9 113 Impact</stron
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CHAPTER 10 121 Impact</stro
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CHAPTER 11 129 International Negoti
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CHAPTER 12 143 Interrelation betwee
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156 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS CNA
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158 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS MENA
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