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Impact of Climate Change on Arab Countries - (IPCC) - Working ...

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58<br />

CHAPTER 4<br />

COASTAL AREAS<br />

FIGURE 11<br />

and large expanses have been developed into<br />

beach resorts. The most intensively developed<br />

tourist areas <strong>on</strong> the Red Sea are the cities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

NATURAL PROTECTORATES ESTABLISHED IN THE<br />

SINAI PENINSULA ON THE GULF OF AQABA AND<br />

GULF OF SUEZ<br />

Sharm El Sheikh and Hurghada. Significant<br />

tourist development has also taken place at many<br />

minor towns <strong>on</strong> the Gulf <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Aqaba coast as well<br />

as at Safaga and Quseir <strong>on</strong> the Egyptian Red Sea<br />

coast, and the northern sector <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Gulf <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Suez. To an extent this has probably exceeded<br />

carrying capacities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the area. Evidence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> reef<br />

degradati<strong>on</strong> due to tourism and other activities is<br />

clear even in areas such as the Ras Mohammad<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>al Park in Egypt (El Shaer et al., 2009).<br />

Large recreati<strong>on</strong>al cities and centres have been<br />

developed in Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia al<strong>on</strong>g the Jeddah<br />

coastline.<br />

Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia lies at the crossroads <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> three c<strong>on</strong>tinents,<br />

Europe, Asia and Africa. It extends from<br />

(EEAA Protectorates <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Egypt)<br />

the Red Sea <strong>on</strong> the west with a coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1,760 km<br />

l<strong>on</strong>g, to the Gulf <strong>on</strong> the east with a 650 km l<strong>on</strong>g<br />

coast. More than 50 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the populati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia lives within 100 km <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Saudi<br />

coastline. The coastal regi<strong>on</strong> houses cities, towns,<br />

and myriads <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> factories and processing plants.<br />

The interface between the land and sea is the<br />

main site for the import and export <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> goods and<br />

services essential for the wellbeing and ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

prosperity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the country. The coastline is the<br />

locati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> desalinati<strong>on</strong> plants that supply the<br />

bulk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the country’s drinking water, oil refineries<br />

and petrochemical factories, and a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

cement plants in additi<strong>on</strong> to a growing recreati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

and tourism industry (Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia Initial<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>al Communicati<strong>on</strong>, UNFCCC).<br />

Because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the great length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ian<br />

coastline, <strong>on</strong>ly vulnerable industrial and populated<br />

coastal z<strong>on</strong>e cities that could be affected by<br />

SLR have been menti<strong>on</strong>ed. On the eastern coast<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia al<strong>on</strong>g the Gulf, Dammam, Ras<br />

Tanura, Jubail and Khafji have been selected as<br />

the most vulnerable coastal z<strong>on</strong>e areas. On the<br />

western coast, al<strong>on</strong>g the Red Sea, Jeddah,<br />

Rabigh, Yanbu and Jizan have been selected as<br />

the most vulnerable coastal areas.<br />

In general, the coastal z<strong>on</strong>e problems are already<br />

critical in many parts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Red Sea and Gulf <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Aden. The potential impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the predicted<br />

global changes will be diverse and important for<br />

human populati<strong>on</strong>s. The major impacts will follow<br />

from <strong>on</strong>e or more <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the following mechanisms:<br />

shoreline retreat; flooding and flood risk;<br />

direct exposure to coastal envir<strong>on</strong>ment; and<br />

saline intrusi<strong>on</strong> and seepage (Tawfiq, 1994).<br />

It is expected that in the absence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> str<strong>on</strong>g instituti<strong>on</strong>al<br />

systems for m<strong>on</strong>itoring, a shortage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

awareness, and inadequate law enforcement<br />

capabilities, the coastal resources in the Red Sea<br />

will c<strong>on</strong>tinue deteriorating and that the losses<br />

due to climate changes in the regi<strong>on</strong> will be far<br />

less than those due to human activities.<br />

V. EXTREME EVENTS<br />

The <strong>Arab</strong> regi<strong>on</strong> is well known to suffer from<br />

extreme events <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> many types: earthquakes,<br />

droughts, flash floods, dust storms, storm surges<br />

and heat waves. The damage associated with

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