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Life – a user's manual Part II - Boksidan

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Chart 3.<br />

Same as chart 2 but with ABB, AstraZeneca, and Ericsson excluded.<br />

In retrospect, noted that many of the companies that raged extra in each crash, was clearly overvalued, and<br />

that they had the potential was promised by their past stock prices.<br />

Approximately 2/3 of the construction & real estate companies that were listed in 1990 (chart 4) were not on<br />

the stock market five years earlier. Many of them had started in the late 1980s, as a result of that it then<br />

became much easier to borrow money for extravagant real estate speculations. Their fall was triggered by a<br />

international recession (partly due to the U.S. war in Iraq, which ended in February 1991). The recession<br />

forced the central bank to further increase the, with today's standards already sky-high interest rates, to<br />

prevent the Swedish currency from losing value (international investors did not believe in Sweden and<br />

dumped the Swedish currency and to counter this, the Swedish national bank raised the interest rates so that<br />

the again would be interesting to lend money to Sweden). In addition, the recession meant that property<br />

values did no longer increase and the demand for premises fell. The former was perhaps the biggest problem<br />

since it resulted in the property companies, not as before, could mortgage the properties further and create<br />

capital to pay operating deficits in the business.<br />

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