National Threat Assessment 2008. Organised Crime - Politie

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1.5.3 Regional Crime Pattern Analysis Organised Crime In 2007 the regional forces prepared crime pattern analyses for organised crime 6 . This was done on the basis of a format 7 . This format laid down the guidelines on the basis of which regional forces had to prepare regional crime pattern analyses for organised crime (known as ‘regional CPA-ZGCs’). 8 The aim of the regional CPA-ZGCs is twofold. First of all, the CPAs are intended to facilitate decisions or choices at regional or district level. Secondly, the regional CPAs are important for decisions or choices at national level. They should ‘feed’ the crime pattern analyses in the National Crime Squad’s key areas and act as building blocks for the National Threat Assessment. 1.6 Performance of substudies 1.6.1 Social trends and crime-related factors Crime-related factors are a major issue in the theoretical model described in section 1.3. The Police Academy carried out an exploratory study of crimerelated factors between January and April 2007 on behalf of IPOL’s NTA project management. They investigated which crime-related factors could be important for criminal phenomena covered by NTA 2008 and which potentially important developments are connected to these factors. They also investigated new social developments that may become crime-related factors in the 2008–2012 period. The ‘SEPTED dimensions’ (Socio-cultural, Economic, Political, Technological, Ecological and Demographic) served as guidelines for identifying relevant factors and developments. These main social categories are often used to draw up prognoses. The possible relevance of specific developments was mainly investigated in logical relationships with aspects of crime, criminal investigations and law enforcement, targeting the ‘meso-level’, in other words, avoiding both broad generalities and specific details. 6 Letter from the Minister of Justice to the Lower House, parliamentary year 2005-2006, 29911, no. 4. 7 Landelijk Kader Nederlandse Politie 2007 (explanatory notes to the police performance agreements), ad artikel 3.1.2.1. 8 The Criminal Investigation Board approved the format on 20 March 2007. 20 National Threat Assessment 2008 – Organised crime
The crime-related factors study (‘CRF study’) 9 was made available to people involved in implementing building blocks, i.e. investigators in the National Crime Squad, investigators at IPOL and investigators and analysts in regional police forces. The study was intended as a tool for describing expectations with regard to the development of criminal activities over the next four years (see 1.3). 1.6.2 Building blocks Twenty-two regional forces prepared a regional CPA-ZGC. For twenty CPAs the descriptive details related to 2005 and 2006. For the other two CPAs they related only to 2006. Almost all CPAs included reports on criminal activities in DNR’s key areas. There were also reports on one or more other types of crime encountered in the police region in question. The three regional forces that did not prepare regional CPA-ZGCs are Gooi en Vechtstreek, Kennemerland and Amsterdam-Amstelland. Six CPAs on the key areas that acted as building blocks for NTA 2008 were drawn up under the responsibility of the National Crime Squad. During the preparation of the CPA on smuggling illegal immigrants there were a number of staffing problems, as a result of which the research period was shorter, the analysis could not be as exhaustive as planned and delivery was also later than originally planned. During the research for the Money Laundering CPA it was decided to collaborate closely with the IPOL subproject on ‘criminal investments in property’ and ‘use of financial service providers to launder criminal proceeds’. This resulted in a joint report on money laundering. Six subprojects were performed under the responsibility of IPOL between April and December 2007. A subproject team consisted of a project leader and several team members (see Appendix 1). Each team worked according to their own action plan based on the same general research questions (see 1.3). The action plan contained a definition of terms, the scope of the subproject, an objective, specific research questions, a description of methods and sources, and a timetable and planned deployment of the available human resources. 9 Klerks, P. & N. Kop, 2007. Maatschappelijke trends en criminaliteitsrelevante factoren. Een overzicht ten behoeve van het Nationaal dreigingsbeeld criminaliteit met een georganiseerd karakter 2008-2012. Politieacademie (Police Academy), Lectoraat Criminaliteitsbeheersing & Recherchekunde, Apeldoorn. An English version (pdf) of this study is available at the Police Academy or through the project management. chapter 1 – Introduction 21
Page 1: KLPD - IPOL Department National Thr
Page 4 and 5: Publisher: IPOL Department Postbus
Page 6 and 7: 2.3.5 Crime-related factors and exp
Page 8 and 9: 3.4.7 Conclusion 119 3.5 Crime invo
Page 10 and 11: 5.3.1 Introduction and scope 186 5.
Page 12 and 13: Preface The first National Threat A
Page 14 and 15: Acknowledgements This National Thre
Page 16 and 17: phenomena - as well as on societal
Page 18 and 19: It should be noticed that the organ
Page 20 and 21: In early 2007 a Supervisory Committ
Page 24 and 25: For environmental crime, the study
Page 26 and 27: A conditional threat involves crimi
Page 28 and 29: forces all made their contributions
Page 30 and 31: 2 Illegal markets 2.1 Introduction
Page 32 and 33: with the aim of transporting large
Page 34 and 35: Demand In 2005 the number of ‘cur
Page 36 and 37: identity papers. It was impossible
Page 38 and 39: use currently occurring in various
Page 40 and 41: An important indicator of heroin pr
Page 42 and 43: 2.3.3 Criminal organisations Three
Page 44 and 45: without being noticed. The harm tha
Page 46 and 47: Criminals often look for a remote l
Page 48 and 49: other than BMK and PMK are increasi
Page 50 and 51: LSD (lysergic acid diethylamide) is
Page 52 and 53: From the source country onwards, th
Page 54 and 55: People can also be the victims of i
Page 56 and 57: Other chemicals will probably be ob
Page 58 and 59: the expectation that organised crim
Page 60 and 61: Figure 2 Number of nurseries disman
Page 62 and 63: which is just over 360,000 people.
Page 64 and 65: A strikingly high number of crimina
Page 66 and 67: mortgage. Various types of fraud ar
Page 68 and 69: and Romanians who already work in t
Page 70 and 71: offences under Section 273f of the
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2.6.3 Scale Exploitation in prostit
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2.6.6 Crime-related factors and exp
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2.7 Illegal immigrant smuggling 30
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who have been in the Netherlands il
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were registered as being suspected
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It is not known whether the positio
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the weapons are stashed at a safe a
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limited scale of detection of illeg
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The commercial production of images
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in isolation. According to the IPOL
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continued existence of both the pro
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2.10.3 Scale In the Netherlands mos
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developments relating to counterfei
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3.2 The public purse: VAT fraud, ex
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a separate legal entity takes care
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Table 6 Misuse of companies in 2000
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Chinese Dutch nationals are reporte
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have created more opportunities wit
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Investment fraud is the general nam
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Almost all contacts in advance fee
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The structure of a boiler room is d
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caught will increase. Fraudsters su
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a role, namely the fact that superv
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special investigation services. The
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competition. In the past this has r
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• electronic and electrical appli
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Any violation of the EU Regulation
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level. Out of a selection of more t
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those used for scrap vehicles. A lo
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As well as being numerous and compl
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consequences of the exporting of th
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In recent years, the integration ph
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Criminals invest in property togeth
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Undermining of the rule of law and
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Professionals’ right of non-discl
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3.6.7 Conclusion The investment of
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Factors related to property crime F
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The relative poverty in many Easter
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• An elderly lady is working in h
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connections between offences cannot
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4.3 Shoplifting 4.3.1 Introduction
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4.3.7 Conclusion As a result of sho
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audio and video equipment and build
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Mainly native Dutch offender groups
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However, there are also factors tha
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According to the National Vehicle C
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Table 8 Development of recorded car
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4.5.5 Consequences for Dutch societ
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Robberies can be described as the r
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Ram raiding Ram raids have been rec
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damage to buildings, etc. In one ca
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‘Organised, supraregional ram rai
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4.8.2 General context The handling
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5.2.2 Corruption of public servants
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Scale For years the Netherlands has
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make contact with one another. By d
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In cases of investment fraud, poten
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1. Enforcement of behaviour In case
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The use of violence within criminal
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In addition, the financial damage t
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However, they were found guilty of
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takes them to a counterfeit website
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equired to defraud Internet users c
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customers. Customers must be on the
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Quite often, organised crime does n
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for criminal purposes, it is likely
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5.7 Counterstrategies 5.7.1 Introdu
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potential witnesses refused (or wer
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eceive protection, as there is alwa
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5.8.2 General context Forgery of do
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Chamber of Commerce and the municip
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5.8.6 Crime-related factors and exp
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6.2 Criminal caravan camp residents
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Nederweed In the subreport on canna
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Roma have been reported for committ
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6.4 Criminal liaisons British crimi
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The use of solvents to extract coca
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on the Internet and growing equipme
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egularly found in suspicious circum
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no capacity is made available for i
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Unlike in 2004, the intertwining of
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organisations have access to one or
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at Schiphol Airport and lorry drive
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Whenever illegal markets such as th
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Appendix 1 Project structure Projec
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E.R. Kleemans Senior Researcher Res
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F. van den Heuvell Analysis Special
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J. ’t Lam Strategic Analyst Natio
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Appendix 2 Overview of qualificatio
Page 259:
Netherlands Police Agency
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