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National Threat Assessment 2008. Organised Crime - Politie

National Threat Assessment 2008. Organised Crime - Politie

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Contents<br />

Preface 10<br />

Acknowledgements 12<br />

1 Introduction 13<br />

1.1 Task 13<br />

1.2 Theoretical model 14<br />

1.3 Objective and research questions 14<br />

1.4 Scope 15<br />

1.5 Preparation 16<br />

1.5.1 List of criminal phenomena 16<br />

1.5.2 Preliminary study 17<br />

1.5.3 Regional <strong>Crime</strong> Pattern Analysis <strong>Organised</strong> <strong>Crime</strong> 20<br />

1.6 Performance of substudies 20<br />

1.6.1 Social trends and crime-related factors 20<br />

1.6.2 Building blocks 21<br />

1.7 Synthesis 22<br />

1.7.1 Overview of criminal phenomena 22<br />

1.7.2 Qualification of criminal phenomena 22<br />

1.7.3 Final report 25<br />

1.8 Merits 25<br />

1.9 Structure of the report 26<br />

2 Illegal markets 28<br />

2.1 Introduction 28<br />

2.2 Trading and smuggling cocaine 28<br />

2.2.1 Introduction and scope 28<br />

2.2.2 General context 29<br />

2.2.3 Scale 31<br />

2.2.4 Criminal organisations 33<br />

2.2.5 Consequences for Dutch society 34<br />

2.2.6 <strong>Crime</strong>-related factors and expectations 35<br />

2.2.7 Conclusion 36<br />

2.3 Trading and smuggling heroin 37<br />

2.3.1 Introduction and scope 37<br />

2.3.2 General context: nature and scale 37<br />

2.3.3 Criminal organisations 40<br />

2.3.4 Consequences for Dutch society 40<br />

contents<br />

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