Gazprom-AR2014
Gazprom-AR2014
Gazprom-AR2014
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50<br />
Trends and Developments on Oil and Gas Markets<br />
Consumption and own production in European far abroad countries, 2005–2014, bcm<br />
600 590.5 584.7 583.2<br />
599.8<br />
609.8<br />
565.5<br />
556.9<br />
546.7<br />
500<br />
540.3<br />
486.0<br />
400<br />
300<br />
317.2 309.4<br />
297.0<br />
325.0<br />
307.3 311.3<br />
290.3 292.2<br />
282.7<br />
266.7<br />
200<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Gas consumption<br />
Own gas production<br />
Note. Calculated on the base of International Energy Agency data, natural gas volumes converted to Russian standards (calorific value of 8,850 kCal/SCM<br />
at 20°C). Data for 2005-2013 may differ from data in Annual Report 2013 due to amendments to international statistics.<br />
The declining petroleum product prices were accompanied by dropping natural gas quotes<br />
on European trading hubs. In 2014, average annual month-ahead indices at the Dutch TTF<br />
dropped by 17.9% in US dollar terms y-o-y, with the German NCG seeing a 17.6% fall to<br />
USD 298.75 per mcm and USD 301.86 per mcm, respectively.<br />
TTF and NCG month-ahead natural gas quotes, 2005–2014, USD/mcm<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
TTF<br />
NCG<br />
Source: Intercontinental Exchange.<br />
Europe is now using a hybrid pricing model to gradually turn gas prices at gas trading hubs<br />
into an industry-wide pricing standard. Hubs are trading through term contracts.<br />
With the development of trading hubs, wholesale prices began to follow the gas supply and<br />
demand curve, although they never came to reflect the balance on the European gas market<br />
since they still depend on the prices of the prevailing long-term contracts which follow another<br />
pricing model. While this dependence persists, long-term contract prices will keep setting caps<br />
for hub prices due to the excessive volume of contractual commitments on the European gas<br />
market: the aggregate firm commitments of suppliers under long-term contracts are much higher<br />
than the actual gas consumption since the majority of these contracts were signed before<br />
the 2008 crisis, led by expectations of a constantly growing consumption.<br />
OAO <strong>Gazprom</strong> Annual Report 2014