24.11.2012 Views

Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Poster Abstracts<br />

movies of the propagation of the seismic waves across the region. Deviation from the concentric propagation pattern expected<br />

in a 1D velocity model highlights abrupt structural transitions, such as known and concealed faults, dipping layers, or lateral<br />

changes in velocity. Also shown are the arrivals and relative amplitudes of various seismic phases as they propagate across<br />

the network of seismometers. The movies will ultimately guide the development of the 3D seismic velocity model by<br />

identifying the locations and possible types of geological structural disturbances.<br />

EARTHQUAKE MOTIONS RECORDED ON A DENSE 5000-STATION NETWORK IN LONG BEACH, CA (B-<br />

048)<br />

M. Barba, R.W. Clayton, and D. Hollis<br />

We present detailed maps and movies of small local earthquakes recorded by a dense seismic network in Long Beach,<br />

California. The network consists of approximately 5,000 short-period, vertical sensors spaced an average 100m apart in a 7 by<br />

10 km area. The autonomous network recorded continuously (24 hours/day) for a period of 6 months. The results show local<br />

basins and faults, such as the Newport-Inglewood Fault (NIF), strongly focusing and diffracting wave fields, suggesting the<br />

existence of fault strands diverging from NIF. The apparent amplification varies significantly over the region. It is also clear<br />

that the coda has waves travelling in a wide variety of directions away from the direct path to the epicenter. By combining the<br />

maps of peak acceleration from a number of earthquakes, a detailed map of ground amplification can be constructed.<br />

A PHYSICAL MODEL OF THE MW 6 EARTHQUAKE CYCLE AT PARKFIELD (A-096)<br />

S. Barbot, N. Lapusta, and J.P. Avouac<br />

Advances in geophysical monitoring now provide an extensive set of observations of all aspects of the earthquake cycle. Yet,<br />

unifying physical models that connect these observations into a coherent picture are lacking. At the same time, laboratory<br />

experiments and theoretical developments provide an increasingly detailed understanding of the fault physics, offering the<br />

basis for an extrapolation to natural conditions.<br />

In this study, we bridge the gap between observations and fault physics by developing the first model of the full earthquake<br />

cycle that explains a number of interesting and robust observations of the crustal dynamics at Parkfield. Despite the<br />

similarities between the repeating Mw 6 earthquakes and their short recurrence times (from 12 to 32 years for 5 events until<br />

1966), the latest rupture of 2004 defied the odds by taking place a decade later than anticipated and initiating at the south end<br />

to propagate northward, contrarily to all previous events.<br />

We build our model of fault friction using the spatial patterns of microseismicity, the time series of GPS displacements in the<br />

1999-2010 period, the InSAR data, and the GPS offsets of the 2004 earthquake. We also consider the slip distribution of the<br />

1966 event and the historical catalog of recurrence times and hypocenter locations. We show the special role of microseismicity,<br />

which marks the transition between stable and unstable friction and circumscribes the seismogenic zone. We use the program<br />

BICYLE (Boundary Integral Cycles of Earthquakes) of Lapusta & Liu (2009) to solve the elasto-dynamic equations that govern<br />

the fault slip evolution. We obtain a sequence of Mw~6 earthquakes that can explain the observed variability of hypocenters<br />

and reproduce the geodetic observations of surface deformation in the co- and postseismic periods associated with the 2004<br />

event. The change of hypocenter between 1966 and 2004 and the delay of the latest event is consistent with the occurrence of a<br />

swarm of smaller-magnitude earthquakes during the 1992-1994 period and these two locations being close to the boundary of<br />

the seismogenic zone. Our study introduces a methodology capable of integrating seismological and geodetic observations<br />

into a coherent physical model of the earthquake cycle. Our approach can serve as an important tool to investigate the effect of<br />

other components of earthquake physics and to help understand and mitigate seismic hazards around active faults.<br />

CO-LOCATED PORE PRESSURE AND VOLUMETRIC STRAIN AT PLATE BOUNDARY OBSERVATORY<br />

BOREHOLES (A-070)<br />

A.J. Barbour and D.C. Agnew<br />

To establish the viability of pore-pressure instrumentation as a measurement of volumetric deformation in the solid rock<br />

matrix, we present initial studies, using Plate Boundary Observatory data, of the relationship between apparent areal strain<br />

and pore pressure in the same borehole. The areal strains are given by Gladwin borehole tensor strainmeters (BSM) (and in<br />

one case by longbase laser strainmeters). The pore-pressure is measured in a partially sealed, sand-packed region in an<br />

uncased section of the borehole containing the BSM. We find parameters relating pore pressure to atmospheric loading and<br />

tidal strains. Although these forces explain much of the pressure signal, residual pressures not associated with earthquakes<br />

have significant other changes (daily rms signal on the order of 1.5 hPa) attributable to a delay between stress and strain. As<br />

142 | Southern California Earthquake Center

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!