Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

Table of Contents
Table of Contents
SCEC ANNUAL MEETING PROGRAM ............................................................................................................................... 1
Sunday, September 11 th ............................................................................................................................................... 1
Monday, September 12 th .............................................................................................................................................. 5
Tuesday, September 13 th .............................................................................................................................................. 8
Wednesday, September 14 th ...................................................................................................................................... 12
STATE OF SCEC, 2011 ..................................................................................................................................................... 14
REPORT OF THE ADVISORY COUNCIL .......................................................................................................................... 22
SCEC COMMUNICATION, EDUCATION, AND OUTREACH ........................................................................................... 32
RESEARCH ACCOMPLISHMENTS .................................................................................................................................. 40
Disciplinary Activities ............................................................................................................................................... 40
Seismology ........................................................................................................................................................... 40
Tectonic Geodesy .................................................................................................................................................. 43
Earthquake Geology ............................................................................................................................................. 49
Disciplinary Activities ............................................................................................................................................... 52
Unified Structural Representation ...................................................................................................................... 52
Fault and Rupture Mechanics ............................................................................................................................. 56
Crustal Deformation Modeling ........................................................................................................................... 68
Lithospheric Architecture and Dynamics ............................................................................................................ 75
Earthquake Forecasting and Predictability .......................................................................................................... 78
Ground-Motion Prediction .................................................................................................................................. 81
Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 86
Special Projects ............................................................................................................................................................ 89
Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation ............................................................................................................ 89
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities ..................................................................................... 91
Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability ................................................................................... 92
Community Modeling Environment ................................................................................................................... 95
DRAFT 2012 SCIENCE PLAN ......................................................................................................................................... 101
I. Preamble ................................................................................................................................................................. 101
II. Guidelines for Proposal Submission ................................................................................................................. 101
III. SCEC Organization ............................................................................................................................................ 103
IV. Proposal Categories ........................................................................................................................................... 103
V. Evaluation Process and Criteria ........................................................................................................................ 104
VI. Coordination of Research between SCEC and USGS-EHRP ....................................................................... 105
VII. SCEC4 Fundamental Problems of Earthquake Physics: Research Priorities and Requirements .......... 106
VIII. Disciplinary Activities ..................................................................................................................................... 108
A. Seismology .................................................................................................................................................... 109
B. Tectonic Geodesy ........................................................................................................................................... 109
C. Earthquake Geology ...................................................................................................................................... 110
2011 SCEC Annual Meeting | iii