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Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

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Local-Scale Models<br />

CDM group researchers are also developing<br />

highly focused numerical models of long term<br />

deformation and fault system development,<br />

taking into account plastic deformation and<br />

damage generation. In his research project, which<br />

straddles the FARM and CDM research areas,<br />

Benchuan Duan (TAMU) models plasticity<br />

evolution due to earthquake shaking. He neatly<br />

illustrates how this results in a component of<br />

coseismic strain in nearby fault damage zones<br />

which is consistent with the background stress,<br />

rather than the coseismic stress change (Figure 44;<br />

Duan et al., 2011 ). Together with earlier <strong>SCEC</strong>funded<br />

work (Hearn and Fialko, 2009), this work<br />

highlights the possibility that absolute stress<br />

levels in the upper crust might be inferred from<br />

the coseismic deformation of fault damage zones.<br />

<strong>SCEC</strong> Research Accomplishments | Report<br />

Yuri Fialko and Yoshi Kaneko (Scripps) have also been looking into whether inelastic failure in the shallow crust due to<br />

dynamic earthquake rupture can explain the apparent deficit in shallow slip which is often noted in coseismic ruptures. They<br />

find that the amount of shallow slip deficit is indeed proportional to the amount of inelastic deformation near the Earth's<br />

surface. However, the largest magnitude of slip deficit in models accounting for off-fault yielding is 2-4 times smaller than that<br />

inferred from kinematic inversions of geodetic data (Kaneko and Fialko, 2011).<br />

In addition to the aforementioned numerical studies, Michele Cooke (U M Amherst) is continuing her work with wet kaolin<br />

(clay) analogue models of fault system development, with the goal of understanding the complex geometry of the SAF system<br />

in the Big Bend region. Her models show how faults form and are abandoned at restraining bends under progressive (oblique)<br />

shear strain, and she makes the argument that the chronology of fault formation and abandonment (i.e. development of<br />

secondary faults at progressively increasing distances from the original SAF bend) is consistent with the geologic record.<br />

Viscoelastic models of the earthquake cycle<br />

Two CDM research groups (Brendan Meade at Harvard and Elizabeth Hearn at UBC) tackled the question of how fault slip<br />

rates inferred from classical elastic half-space dislocation models might be affected by viscoelastic earthquake cycle effects,<br />

using earthquake-cycle models. To evaluate the magnitude of the viscoelastic deformation effects, both groups used forward<br />

models of two-dimensional faults with Maxwell and other rheologies to model velocity profiles at different times in the<br />

interseismic interval. These<br />

profiles were inverted for slip<br />

rates on a buried dislocation in an<br />

elastic halfspace, providing an<br />

effective means of assessing the<br />

predicted range of variability in<br />

fault slip rate estimates due to an<br />

idealized rheological<br />

parameterization. Both groups<br />

have found that if earthquake<br />

cycle variability is assumed to<br />

take place entirely within the<br />

upper mantle as a result of stress<br />

relaxation, then certain Burgers<br />

rheologies can simultaneously<br />

explain the general agreement<br />

between geologic and geodetic<br />

Figure 44. Fault-parallel component of the residual displacement field after<br />

an earthquake on the fault (solid black line) within a low-velocity fault zone<br />

FZ2. Motion across FZ1 is retrograde along AA', while it is sympathetic along<br />

BB'. They correspond to elastic and inelastic response of FZ1 to the rupture,<br />

respectively. From Duan et al., 2011.<br />

Figure 45. Predicted and observed variation in geologic/geodetic slip rate estimates as a<br />

function of upper mantle rheology. Left- and right-hand panels are Maxwell and Burgers<br />

rheologies, respectively. Hotter colors indicate larger postseismic deformation signals. Of the<br />

models considered here, only those to the far right hand side of the rightmost figure are<br />

consistent with both the general agreement of between geologic and geodetic slip rate<br />

estimates and the observed magnitude of postseismic deformation. From Brendan Meade.<br />

2011 <strong>SCEC</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Meeting</strong> | 73

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