Annual Meeting - SCEC.org
Annual Meeting - SCEC.org
Annual Meeting - SCEC.org
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Local-Scale Models<br />
CDM group researchers are also developing<br />
highly focused numerical models of long term<br />
deformation and fault system development,<br />
taking into account plastic deformation and<br />
damage generation. In his research project, which<br />
straddles the FARM and CDM research areas,<br />
Benchuan Duan (TAMU) models plasticity<br />
evolution due to earthquake shaking. He neatly<br />
illustrates how this results in a component of<br />
coseismic strain in nearby fault damage zones<br />
which is consistent with the background stress,<br />
rather than the coseismic stress change (Figure 44;<br />
Duan et al., 2011 ). Together with earlier <strong>SCEC</strong>funded<br />
work (Hearn and Fialko, 2009), this work<br />
highlights the possibility that absolute stress<br />
levels in the upper crust might be inferred from<br />
the coseismic deformation of fault damage zones.<br />
<strong>SCEC</strong> Research Accomplishments | Report<br />
Yuri Fialko and Yoshi Kaneko (Scripps) have also been looking into whether inelastic failure in the shallow crust due to<br />
dynamic earthquake rupture can explain the apparent deficit in shallow slip which is often noted in coseismic ruptures. They<br />
find that the amount of shallow slip deficit is indeed proportional to the amount of inelastic deformation near the Earth's<br />
surface. However, the largest magnitude of slip deficit in models accounting for off-fault yielding is 2-4 times smaller than that<br />
inferred from kinematic inversions of geodetic data (Kaneko and Fialko, 2011).<br />
In addition to the aforementioned numerical studies, Michele Cooke (U M Amherst) is continuing her work with wet kaolin<br />
(clay) analogue models of fault system development, with the goal of understanding the complex geometry of the SAF system<br />
in the Big Bend region. Her models show how faults form and are abandoned at restraining bends under progressive (oblique)<br />
shear strain, and she makes the argument that the chronology of fault formation and abandonment (i.e. development of<br />
secondary faults at progressively increasing distances from the original SAF bend) is consistent with the geologic record.<br />
Viscoelastic models of the earthquake cycle<br />
Two CDM research groups (Brendan Meade at Harvard and Elizabeth Hearn at UBC) tackled the question of how fault slip<br />
rates inferred from classical elastic half-space dislocation models might be affected by viscoelastic earthquake cycle effects,<br />
using earthquake-cycle models. To evaluate the magnitude of the viscoelastic deformation effects, both groups used forward<br />
models of two-dimensional faults with Maxwell and other rheologies to model velocity profiles at different times in the<br />
interseismic interval. These<br />
profiles were inverted for slip<br />
rates on a buried dislocation in an<br />
elastic halfspace, providing an<br />
effective means of assessing the<br />
predicted range of variability in<br />
fault slip rate estimates due to an<br />
idealized rheological<br />
parameterization. Both groups<br />
have found that if earthquake<br />
cycle variability is assumed to<br />
take place entirely within the<br />
upper mantle as a result of stress<br />
relaxation, then certain Burgers<br />
rheologies can simultaneously<br />
explain the general agreement<br />
between geologic and geodetic<br />
Figure 44. Fault-parallel component of the residual displacement field after<br />
an earthquake on the fault (solid black line) within a low-velocity fault zone<br />
FZ2. Motion across FZ1 is retrograde along AA', while it is sympathetic along<br />
BB'. They correspond to elastic and inelastic response of FZ1 to the rupture,<br />
respectively. From Duan et al., 2011.<br />
Figure 45. Predicted and observed variation in geologic/geodetic slip rate estimates as a<br />
function of upper mantle rheology. Left- and right-hand panels are Maxwell and Burgers<br />
rheologies, respectively. Hotter colors indicate larger postseismic deformation signals. Of the<br />
models considered here, only those to the far right hand side of the rightmost figure are<br />
consistent with both the general agreement of between geologic and geodetic slip rate<br />
estimates and the observed magnitude of postseismic deformation. From Brendan Meade.<br />
2011 <strong>SCEC</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Meeting</strong> | 73