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Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

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Poster Abstracts<br />

are adopted for upgoing and downgoing phases to take into account of the directivity effect of the source process in vertical<br />

direction. The sensitivity tests indicate that, the separation with adjustable time shifts can better fit the waveforms especially<br />

the depth phases. The improved method is applied to the 2003 Big Bear sequence to derive lateral crustal structure.<br />

CAN FAULT MAPS CONSTRAIN FUTURE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDES? (B-082)<br />

D.A. Weiser<br />

Can one use an existing fault map to accurately determine maximum magnitude for earthquakes in a region? It is generally<br />

assumed that fault traces constrain the location, orientation, and size of future earthquakes. Yet many earthquakes, like the<br />

M7.3, 1992 Landers, CA and M7.9, 1999 Denali, AK earthquakes, rupture beyond previousl 251 y 251<br />

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SPATIAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF FORESHOCKS AND AFTERSHOCKS: STATIC OR DYNAMIC TRIGGERING?<br />

(B-027)<br />

M.J. Werner and A.M. Rubin<br />

In recent years, the spatial distributions of foreshocks and aftershocks have been scrutinized for evidence supporting either<br />

triggering by static stress changes induced by the permanent deformation from prior earthquakes or triggering by the<br />

dynamic stresses from seismic waves. Felzer & Brodsky (2006) identified mainshocks and triggered aftershocks, stacked the<br />

distances between these pairs and observed a single power-law decay with distance that extends beyond the zone<br />

traditionally thought to be affected by static stress changes. On this basis, they argued that dynamic stresses are responsible<br />

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2011 <strong>SCEC</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Meeting</strong> | 251

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