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A4 für Copyshop GB.indd - Bayerische Landesbank

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24 Economic situation<br />

} Growth to remain<br />

restrained in 2005<br />

Outlook for 2005<br />

The global and domestic economic situations do not betoken a more sprightly rate of<br />

recovery for Germany in 2005. Nor, however, is a slowdown anticipated, as forecasts<br />

might at first seem to indicate. Adjusted by the lower number of working days in 2005,<br />

the growth rate will remain more or less stable, at an expected 1.2 percent. This is still<br />

too low to effect lasting improvement in the labour market or in the public sector.<br />

In 2005, the global economy will no longer experience such a heady growth pace.<br />

This applies equally to North America and Asia. Furthermore, appreciation of the euro<br />

damages the price competitiveness of German suppliers. The outlook for domestic<br />

demand remains mediocre, unless employment levels take off and companies restore<br />

confidence in Germany’s industrial competitiveness. Thus, a self-sustaining upward<br />

trend is not yet in store for Germany.

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