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thèse doctorat de l'université bordeaux 2 - ISPED-Enseignement à ...

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1. INTRODUCTIONWith the aging of highways, road authorities spend a consi<strong>de</strong>rable proportion of their budgeton maintenance. 1-3 For instance, fe<strong>de</strong>ral and state highway <strong>de</strong>partments of transportation inthe United States of America (USA) invest 10-15% of their annual budget on the maintenanceof highways, amounting to tens of billions of US$ each year. 4 5 Similarly, Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs) spend a consi<strong>de</strong>rable portion of their <strong>de</strong>velopment assistance onhighway maintenance projects. 6 7 Construction zones, often named Highway Work Zones(HWZ), are present on all road networks anywhere in the world. 1-7HWZs are different from work zones in urban areas, because provision of <strong>de</strong>tours is oftenimpractical. 1 2 Thus regular traffic flows need to be restricted, leading to safety challenges. 8Previous research in <strong>de</strong>veloped countries has <strong>de</strong>monstrated an increased crash and fatality riskin HWZ as compared to other parts of the transport network. 9 For instance, in two-lanehighways of Kansas, 63% of fatal crashes and one-third of injury crashes took place onHWZs. 10 The estimated cost of HWZ crashes between 1995 and 1997 in the USA was 6.2billion US$ with an average cost of 3,687 US$ per crash. 11 Nevertheless, the safety problemrelated to HWZ has received some attention in high-income countries (HIC) and appropriatetraffic control interventions are implemented during the construction periods. 2Pakistan has a strategic national highway network of over 8 000 km. Over 90% of the inlandtraffic passes through these road sections and, consequently, these highways un<strong>de</strong>rgoextensive wear and tear due to overloading, heavy traffic, and <strong>de</strong>layed maintenance. 12-14Previous research has shown that 27% of road fatalities occurred on these roads although thatthey accounted for only 4% of the network. 14 A survey conducted in 2000 showed that 50%of the national highway network was in need of major pavement reconstruction. 12 15 Themaintenance <strong>de</strong>mand had consistently increased from 10 billion Pakistani rupees (PKR) in1991 to over 30 billion PKR in 2005, yet only around 10 billion PKR were available in 2005for highway maintenance. 12 To date, no study has ever estimated the road crash bur<strong>de</strong>n due tosuch traffic conditions in Pakistan. 13 16 The objective of this study was to assess the bur<strong>de</strong>nand factors associated with HWZ crashes on an interurban highway in Pakistan.2. METHODS2.1 Study <strong>de</strong>sign and settingAs we compared the inci<strong>de</strong>nce <strong>de</strong>nsity rates, estimated from events (crash, fatality, or injury)and person-time exposure (km travelled) measures, between the HWZ and normal trafficzones, the study <strong>de</strong>sign was similar to an historical cohort study. 17 18 The study setting was a196-km-long four-lane, separated, non-access controlled Karachi-Hala road section in theprovince of Sindh, Pakistan. Traffic counts ranged from 16,356 vehicles per day onHy<strong>de</strong>rabad–Hala sub section (50 km) to 24,707 vehicles per day on Karachi-Hy<strong>de</strong>rabad subsection (146 km). 19 The National Highway Authority (NHA) manages the overallmaintenance and upgra<strong>de</strong> of this road section, mostly by private contractors. 12 The NationalHighway and Motorway Police (NHMP) have been enforcing traffic rules on this road sectionsince 2004.2.2 Traffic dataAnnual average daily traffic survey data were collected from NHA headquarters. Thesesurveys are conducted each year to assess traffic counts on different road sections un<strong>de</strong>r theFe<strong>de</strong>ral administration. 19 Locations near toll plazas are selected to assess 24-hour counts bythe NHA personals. We extracted information on traffic counts observed between Karachi-Hy<strong>de</strong>rabad (146 km) and Hy<strong>de</strong>rabad-Hala (50 km) road sections. Variables co<strong>de</strong>d from traffic112

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