observational studies on how the <strong>de</strong>gree of surface irregularity impacts vehicle speed anddirection could be useful to assess crash risk with similar road conditions [11].Mechanical problems, in particular tyre bursts, were i<strong>de</strong>ntified as important causes of fatalcrashes in both settings. Tyre bursts were previously i<strong>de</strong>ntified as an important vehicle factorinvolved in crashes in LMICs [145]. In most LMICs, car owners prefer using used tyres dueto financial constraints [50]. Previous research has clearly shown that these countries do nothave an effective vehicle inspection system [19, 92]. Irregular road surface conditions oninterurban roads may facilitate frequent tyre burst in LMICs [11]. The relative contribution oftyre problems in crashes indicated that realistic inspection system on interurban road sectionsin LMICs, keeping in mind that car owner might not be able to afford the correspondingmaintenance costs [50]. Road surface improvement may help reduce crashes attributed to tyreproblems in these countries.Traffic <strong>de</strong>mands on the road sector and consistently augmenting in LMICs. Highway traffic isexpected to triple in Pakistan over a period from 2005 to 2015 [81]. The reconstruction andupgrading of highways will certainly increase in these countries. The study on HWZ safety inPakistan, for the first time showed a significantly high traffic crash and fatality bur<strong>de</strong>n due tosuch conditions. Gui<strong>de</strong>lines for work zone management exist but so far no mechanism forHWZ <strong>de</strong>sign, performance, and enforcement evaluation has been <strong>de</strong>fined or implemented inPakistan [146]. In<strong>de</strong>ed, there is a need to improve institutional capacity, as well as inspectionmechanisms, so that road agencies could be accountable for ensuring HWZ safety [81, 99,146]. Further, it was observed that lengthy work zones lasted for over 10 months. Thus,efforts are required to reduce HWZ duration to impact crash risks [146].Moreover, one of two HWZ crashes occurred between opposite-direction vehicles; the likelyexplanation was the high volume un-separated traffic conditions and hazardous overtaking.This points out the need to carefully plan and execute the safe flow of traffic duringmaintenance works [147]. Enforcing harsher penalties for overtaking, providing alternatelanes, and traffic separation may be some useful measures to <strong>de</strong>crease hazardous situationsleading to HWZs crashes in Pakistan [146].Our study showed that pe<strong>de</strong>strians were significantly involved in HWZ crashes. Sud<strong>de</strong>n entryonto the highway was reported as the major cause of such crashes. Similarly, wet surfacesincreased the risk of HWZ crashes. Such involvements, although less important, were foundin HWZ crashes elsewhere [100]. Human judgement error is in<strong>de</strong>ed one of the principal factori<strong>de</strong>ntified in HWZ crashes [100, 101]. These results indicated that provision of advancewarning area, clear zones to enhance visibility, road markings, and hazard signage in the workarea can be useful interventions to reduce HWZ crashes in Pakistan [94, 146].Adverse weather conditions were involved in a significant proportion of interurban roadcrashes in Cameroon and Pakistan. We observed that there were no specific speed-restrictionsimposed for such conditions on both road sections. Hazard perception for rainy conditionswas lower for high-risk crash sites compared to low-risk sites. These results point out the needfor measures that would help drivers better i<strong>de</strong>ntify hazards in such conditions at high-risksites. Specific measures, such as all-weather pavement markings, reduced speed limits, andsurface improvements may help reduce such crashes in LMICs [99].The hazard perception study showed that drivers were able to i<strong>de</strong>ntify only half of high-risksites. A reciprocal relationship of road and traffic hazard perception with reported speed wasobserved. The finding that hazard perception of high-risk sites was significantly differentfrom that of low-risk sites for some of the site factors may have implications for road safety.Hazard perception of high-risk crash sites, for instance with hazard signs, was significantly60
higher than that of low-risk sites. It is likely that drivers perceived a high-risk crash site morehazardous when road furniture and hazard signage was available on such site [11, 17].Interurban road maintenance has not received a<strong>de</strong>quate attention in LMICs as shown by fewroad signs observed in Cameroon and Pakistan. These results suggested that <strong>de</strong>velopment andimplementation of interventions improving hazard perception may be useful in reducing thecrash risk on interurban road sections in LMICs [14].Further, we observed that hazard perception was higher for Cameroonian sites as compared toPakistani sites. This could be explained by traffic conditions, separated in Pakistan comparedto non-separated in Cameroon. A higher hazard perception of sites with work zones inPakistan, where traffic was not separated showed a similar trend for higher hazard perception[148, 149]. Further, mountainous terrain, unfamiliarity with the road section, and right-handdriving could augment hazard perception for Cameroonian site vi<strong>de</strong>os [150, 151]. Theseresults showed that hazard perception measures <strong>de</strong>veloped elsewhere should be validatedcross culturally and vi<strong>de</strong>o methods can be useful to conduct such studies.7. Limitations and perspectivesIn line with the increasing crash bur<strong>de</strong>n in LMIC, the United Nations has <strong>de</strong>clared the next<strong>de</strong>ca<strong>de</strong> as the “Deca<strong>de</strong> of Action for Road Safety 2011-2020” [3]. Such actions should bemonitored with valid and reliable indicators. The police data that we used in Cameroon mighthave two limitations for estimating traffic fatality. Firstly, all police reports were not collectedand secondly, reported injured patients were followed at most for eight days. This leads toun<strong>de</strong>restimation of our rates, which could not be corrected in the analyses [3]. Although wewere able to record all police reported injuries on the Pakistani road section, we observed thatpolice recording of traffic fatalities and injuries was very low when compared to ambulanceor ED data [64]. The record linkage helped to estimate overall injury rates but failed toi<strong>de</strong>ntify high-risk crash sites or other information that could be useful for implementingpreventive interventions [152]. Furthermore, information on safety equipment use by vehicleoccupants and motorcycle ri<strong>de</strong>r was almost never reported in police data. All this showed thatthere is a need to improve the existing interurban road injury surveillance system so that wecould measure the impact of safety interventions in the future. The police should be provi<strong>de</strong>dwith a<strong>de</strong>quate resources and training to collect information as is the case in HICs [55].Preliminary results from this thesis were communicated to the NHMP and a complementarystudy is currently un<strong>de</strong>rgoing to evaluate the impact of strict seat-belt law implementation atKarachi-Hala road section. We hope to work with them in the future on my return to Pakistan,so that we can plan other studies to better un<strong>de</strong>rstand which factors impe<strong>de</strong> safety equipmentuse and are responsible for the high fatality among passenger occupants.Associations of situational factors with injury crash sites did not imply a causal relationship.As road <strong>de</strong>sign and furniture improvements are planned on Yaoundé-Douala road section, wewould like to reassess the road bur<strong>de</strong>n on the same road section in coming years. Few studieshave reported the effectiveness of road interventions in LMICs [90], and such data collectionin Cameroon and possibly on other interurban roads in Pakistan will help measure the impactof interventions, particularly with respect to specific situational factors.In the studies <strong>de</strong>scribed here, most injury patients came to the hospital on their own, on bothroad sections. In Pakistan, slightly higher proportion of the patients was transported by theambulance service. In connection with the field work in Pakistan, a study was conducted toassess the quality of pre-hospital care available to RTI patients on interurban roads in theprovince of Sindh. Trauma care quality has rarely been assessed in LMICs [2, 3]. Ourevaluation of trauma care in a Moroccan region i<strong>de</strong>ntified several opportunities forimprovement in the current healthcare system [153]. Results from such a study can be useful61
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Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux
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Publications (peer-reviewed).......
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Index of figuresFigure 1. Traffic f
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AbbreviationsAKUAVCIBMIEASESSDALYDW
- Page 10 and 11: AbstractBackground: Interurban traf
- Page 12 and 13: L'objectif de cette thèse était d
- Page 14 and 15: 2. Background2.1 Road injury burden
- Page 16 and 17: 2.4 Multiple factors involved in tr
- Page 18 and 19: Figure 4. Percentage difference of
- Page 20 and 21: 2.7 Interurban road safety research
- Page 22 and 23: ObjectivesThe objectives of this fi
- Page 24 and 25: ResultsCrash burdenA total of 935 R
- Page 26 and 27: Figure 7. Monthly trend of traffic
- Page 28 and 29: Injury outcome patternsMost of inju
- Page 30 and 31: MethodsThe study setting was 196-km
- Page 32 and 33: patients. In the ED, those with NIS
- Page 34 and 35: Table 6. Traffic injuries reported
- Page 36 and 37: 5. Analytical StudiesPrevious liter
- Page 38 and 39: under supervision of Dr. Sobngwi-Ta
- Page 40 and 41: Table 9. Situational variables at c
- Page 42 and 43: MethodsStudy design and settingStud
- Page 44 and 45: to Dec 08 were retrieved and photoc
- Page 46 and 47: normal zones. However, this associa
- Page 48 and 49: MethodsStudy design and settingsThe
- Page 50 and 51: Figure 14. Picture extracted of a h
- Page 52 and 53: located in built-up area in Pakista
- Page 54 and 55: Table 15. Differences in hazard per
- Page 56 and 57: 6. Discussion6.1 Originality of stu
- Page 58 and 59: Although adjustments are possible,
- Page 62 and 63: to understand the deficiencies in t
- Page 64 and 65: [24] Damsere-Derry J, Afukaar FK, D
- Page 66 and 67: [69] Central Intelligence Agency. T
- Page 68 and 69: [111] Geurts K, Wets G, Brijs T, Va
- Page 70 and 71: [154] Rosenbloom T, Shahar A, Elhar
- Page 72 and 73: 4. Farooq U, Bhatti JA, Siddiq M, M
- Page 74 and 75: Appendix 1: Literature review on in
- Page 76 and 77: they identified a cluster of long b
- Page 78 and 79: more cost-effective than redesignin
- Page 80 and 81: Table 18. Traffic injury interventi
- Page 86 and 87: Appendix 3: Study I supplementary r
- Page 88 and 89: Appendix 4: Manuscript in preparati
- Page 90 and 91: BACKGROUNDPakistan, located at the
- Page 92 and 93: patients were recorded during their
- Page 94 and 95: This might motivate police officers
- Page 96 and 97: 12. Peden M, Scurfiled R, Sleet D,
- Page 98 and 99: Table 1. Traffic injuries reported
- Page 100 and 101: Table 3. Ascertainment of police, a
- Page 102 and 103: Appendix 5: Article published - Stu
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Appendix 6: Article under review -
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1. INTRODUCTIONWith the aging of hi
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A total of 180 crashes were identif
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conspicuity at HWZs in Pakistan. 2
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21. Sobngwi-Tambekou J, Bhatti J, K
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Table 2. Highway work zone crash fa
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122
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ABSTRACTObjectives: Interurban road
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oad). A matched strategy was used t
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SitesOut of 131 crash sites identif
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Similarly, it was shown previously
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Majdzadeh, R., Khalagi, K., Naraghi
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Table 2. Characteristics of Pakista
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Table 4. Factors associated with ha
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Table 21. Situational factors at hi
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Table 23. Situational factors assoc