A total of 180 crashes were i<strong>de</strong>ntified from the police registers. Overall 612 road users wereinjured in these crashes; 14.8% (N=91) died, and 55.3% (N=339) were severely injured. Theroad fatality rate on this highway, excluding HWZ crashes, was 13.0 per 10 9 vehicle-km(table 1). The crash rate was significantly higher in North-bound as compared to South-bounddirection (rate ratio (RR) = 1.81, 95% confi<strong>de</strong>nce interval (95%CI) = 1.30, 2.52). Comparedto trucks, the crash rate was lower for passenger cars (RR = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.42, 0.78), butthe fatality rate was twice as high for passenger cars compared to trucks (RR = 1.93, 95%CI =1.04, 3.61). Similarly, fatality rate was significantly higher for occupants of buses (RR = 3.32;95%CI = 1.52, 7.22) and minivans (RR = 4.75; 95%CI = 1.84, 12.24), as compared to trucks’occupants.3.2 Work zone related crash and injury bur<strong>de</strong>nFifteen percent (N=27) of the traffic crashes occurred in HWZs, accounting for 30.8% (N=28)of all fatalities and 15.3% (N=52) of those severely injured on the 196-km-long road section.During the three-year period, 0.89 billion vehicle-km travelled on the 50-km-long sub-sectionfor which HWZ dates were available. HWZ accounted for 17.6% of the vehicle km travelledon this sub section. On average, HWZs were 5.7-km-long (SD = 4.3). Two work zones were10 and 14-km-long and lasted more than 300 days. The crash (32.5 vs. 31.6 per 10 9 kmtravelled) and the fatality (16.3 vs. 13.0 per 10 9 km travelled) rates observed on normal trafficzone of this sub-section were similar to that for the whole road section whereas severe injuryrate (89.4 vs. 59.3 per 10 9 km travelled) was higher as compared to the whole road section.Significantly higher crash (RR = 2.35), fatality (RR = 4.70), and severe injury risks (RR =1.92) were observed on HWZs compared to other zones (P≤0.004) on this sub section (table2).3.3 Factors associated with HWZ crashesComplete reports were available for 93.3% (N=168) of all traffic crashes, 96.8% of fatalcrashes (N=63), and 98.9% of severe injury crashes (N=88). Crashes between vehiclesmoving in opposite direction and those involving pe<strong>de</strong>strians were more likely on HWZ thanon other sections (table 3). Similar associations were observed for both sub-sectionsseparately, where pe<strong>de</strong>strian and opposite direction crashes accounted for most (≥73.2%,P≤0.01) HWZ crashes. Similarly, wet surface crashes were significantly more likely to occuron HWZ than on non HWZ. However, this association was not observed when the two subsectionswere analyzed separately. Hazardous overtaking was the major cause of crash inHWZs (55.6%) whereas sud<strong>de</strong>n entry on the road was i<strong>de</strong>ntified as crash cause in all of thepe<strong>de</strong>strian involving HWZ crashes (N=5, 18.5%).4. DISCUSSIONThese results showed that HWZs lead to increased road crash and fatality risk on this nationalhighway in Pakistan. Overall, HWZs accounted for one third of fatalities and the crash fatalityrisk was four times higher in HWZs as compared to normal traffic. In HWZ, one out of twocrashes occurred between opposite-direction vehicles; the likely explanation of was the highvolume un-separated traffic conditions and hazardous overtaking.The highway traffic is expected to triple from 2005 to 2025 in Pakistan. 12 The Governmenthas envisaged meeting these <strong>de</strong>mands by upgrading and improving the current highwaynetwork, exposure to HWZs is thus expected to increase. 12 Although gui<strong>de</strong>lines for work zonemanagement exist in Pakistan, so far no mechanism for HWZ <strong>de</strong>sign, performance, an<strong>de</strong>nforcement evaluation has been <strong>de</strong>fined or implemented. 15 These results suggested the needto improve institutional capacity as well as inspection mechanisms so that road agencies114
should be accountable for ensuring HWZ safety. 2 12 15 Further, reducing HWZ duration couldbe useful in <strong>de</strong>creasing the resulting crash risk. 15Almost half of the traffic on the highway was composed of heavy trucks which have anoverall low speed. 12 As the space to accommodate the traffic volume is reduced in HWZ, it islikely that in absence of harsher penalties and barriers, smaller and faster vehicles performedhazardous overtaking. Our results consistently showed that most of the crashes occurred as aresult of traffic conflict between the oppositely moving traffic in the work zones (figure 1B). 21This points out the need to carefully plan and regulate the traffic flow during maintenanceworks. Enforcing harsher penalties for overtaking, providing alternate lanes, and trafficseparation might be some of the useful measures to <strong>de</strong>crease hazardous situations leading toHWZs crashes in Pakistan. 15This study showed that pe<strong>de</strong>strians, probably including workers, were significantly involvedin HWZ crashes. Sud<strong>de</strong>n entry onto the highway was reported as the major cause of suchcrashes. Similarly, wet surface increased the risk of HWZ crashes. Such involvements,although less important, were found in HWZ crashes elsewhere. 10 Human judgement error isin<strong>de</strong>ed one of the principal factor i<strong>de</strong>ntified in HWZ crashes. 1 10 These results indicated thatprevention measures such as advance warning area, clear zones to enhance visibility, roadmarkings, hazard signage in the work area, and conspicuity equipment for workers could beuseful to reduce such crashes in Pakistan. 3 15Finally, the overall traffic fatality risk on this highway is several times higher as compared toa limited access road in the HICs. 24 Factors such as drowsiness, speeding, hazardousovertaking, and poor vehicle condition were highly involved in these crashes. 25 26 Theseresults were not surprising as the traffic conditions are quite different from HICs which hadmore crash prevention and control measures on their roads. 21 Interestingly, the fatality risk forthe occupants of cars, minibuses, and buses were two times or more high than for thosetravelling in trucks. The higher fatality risk associated with car and bus occupants ascompared to truck occupants could be due to the high number of passengers and the non useof seat belts by both drivers and passengers, substandard vehicles, and higher traffic speeds. 26This study <strong>de</strong>monstrates the need to investigate and control high vulnerability of caroccupants in LMICs.This study may have some limitations. Firstly, we inclu<strong>de</strong>d only police reported crashes,which were shown to report only 56% of road fatalities and 4% of severe injuries inPakistan. 27 Thus given results could un<strong>de</strong>r estimate the crash risk which we had assumed to besame for both the HWZ and normal traffic zones. Further, traffic measuring was based on 24-hour surveys. This could lead to both un<strong>de</strong>restimation and overestimation of the crash risk. 17Nevertheless, these had been used previously to compare the crash risk for vehicles and roadtypes in LMICs. 21 Finally, little information was available on involved drivers to account forthose factors in adjusted analyses. 1Pakistan, like many other LMICs, is passing through economic transition. 12 With the expectedincrease in HWZ activity in the future, several lessons could be learnt from this study. Firstly,a high road injury bur<strong>de</strong>n in HWZ indicated that a monitoring system is nee<strong>de</strong>d to examinethe HWZ safety measures by the agencies involved in maintenance works. 15 Secondly, moreefforts are required to reduce the duration of HWZs. 2 Finally, these results orient towardprevention measures such as harsher punishment for traffic violations such as overtaking,traffic separation, advanced warning area, hazard signage, and improving pe<strong>de</strong>strians’115
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Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux
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Publications (peer-reviewed).......
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Index of figuresFigure 1. Traffic f
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AbbreviationsAKUAVCIBMIEASESSDALYDW
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AbstractBackground: Interurban traf
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L'objectif de cette thèse était d
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2. Background2.1 Road injury burden
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2.4 Multiple factors involved in tr
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Figure 4. Percentage difference of
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2.7 Interurban road safety research
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ObjectivesThe objectives of this fi
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ResultsCrash burdenA total of 935 R
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Figure 7. Monthly trend of traffic
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Injury outcome patternsMost of inju
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MethodsThe study setting was 196-km
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patients. In the ED, those with NIS
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Table 6. Traffic injuries reported
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5. Analytical StudiesPrevious liter
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under supervision of Dr. Sobngwi-Ta
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Table 9. Situational variables at c
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MethodsStudy design and settingStud
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to Dec 08 were retrieved and photoc
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normal zones. However, this associa
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MethodsStudy design and settingsThe
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Figure 14. Picture extracted of a h
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located in built-up area in Pakista
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Table 15. Differences in hazard per
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6. Discussion6.1 Originality of stu
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Although adjustments are possible,
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observational studies on how the de
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to understand the deficiencies in t
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- Page 68 and 69: [111] Geurts K, Wets G, Brijs T, Va
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- Page 98 and 99: Table 1. Traffic injuries reported
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- Page 112 and 113: 1. INTRODUCTIONWith the aging of hi
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- Page 124 and 125: ABSTRACTObjectives: Interurban road
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