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Ninth International Conference on Permafrost ... - IARC Research

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Ni n t h In t e r n at i o n a l Co n f e r e n c e o n Pe r m a f r o s tTable 1. Landscape resistibility to coastal retreat.Group (averageretreat rate, m/yr)Irresistible(9.2)Mediumirresistible(5.5)Resistible(2.4)LandscapeunitAverageretreatrate, m/yrActive layerdepth range,mDegree ofdrainage 1Degreeof slopeinclinati<strong>on</strong> 2Surfacemicrorelief 3Vegetati<strong>on</strong>coverage 4Dominatingvegetati<strong>on</strong> 51 14.6 >1.0 DW S H V M, Sh, He2 8.9 >1.0 D S H BV Sh, He3 8.8 >1.0 D S H, SM V He, M4 8.3 1.0 D S F B11 5.9 0.6–1.0 DW S H BV M12 4.95 0.6–1.0 DW G F V M, Se13 4.8 0.6–1.0 D G SM V M, Sh, Gr14 4.1 1.0 D G H, SM V Se, Sh, M16 2.7 >1.0 D L F BV Gr17 2.6 >1.0 D S F V Gr, He18 2.4 >1.0 D L F B19 2.3 1.0 D G F BV Gr1D – well drained, DW – poorly drained, W – wet. 2 S – steep, G – gentle, L − level. 3 F – flat, H – hummocky, T – tussocky, SM – with spotmedalli<strong>on</strong>s,P – polyg<strong>on</strong>al. 4 B – bare surface, BV – semi-vegetated, V – fully vegetated. 5 Sh – shrubs, He – herbs, Gr – graminoids, M – moss,Se – sedge.Table 2. Average numerical score analysis of envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>trols.Groups of Envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>trols of maximum retreat ratelandscapes Dominating Vegetati<strong>on</strong> coverage Degree of slope Degree of drainage Surface microreliefvegetati<strong>on</strong>inclinati<strong>on</strong>Irresistible 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.7 1.9Medium irresistible 1.9 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.7Resistible 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.5Scores were summarized and averaged for a group oflandscapes as shown in Table 2. Though the table is based<strong>on</strong> expert judgment, the result expresses an expected pattern:landscape units with a higher retreat rate (Irresistible)according to field measurements show the highest numericalscore in all the cases excluding drainage factor, so we c<strong>on</strong>siderthis approach to give a good qualitative estimate. Analyzingthe range of average score for various envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>trolsbetween Irresistible and Resistible landscape groups, we notethat the maximum difference (2.4-1.2=1.2, Table 2) bel<strong>on</strong>gsto the “dominating vegetati<strong>on</strong>” c<strong>on</strong>trol, which makes thisfactor most valuable in determining the degree of resistibilityto coastal retreat. Gentle, well-drained slope, though, withmoss-shrub vegetati<strong>on</strong> (landscape unit 15) bel<strong>on</strong>gs to thecategory of Resistible landscapes.C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>Dominating shrubby-mossy vegetati<strong>on</strong> is an indicatorof irresistibility of landscapes to maximum coastal retreat,while graminoids indicate the lowest maximum retreatrate. Geomorphological c<strong>on</strong>trols are less significant. Mostvaluable of the geomorphic factors is slope inclinati<strong>on</strong> due togravimetric effect. Microrelief features, such as hummocksand spot-medalli<strong>on</strong>s, increase irresistibility of landscapeunits, especially in combinati<strong>on</strong> with steep slopes, becausethey result from flaws in the active layer.A combinati<strong>on</strong> of envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>trols, even thosehaving a medium numerical score assigned by an expertjudgment each, results in a high maximum coastal retreatrate and is a reas<strong>on</strong> for adding this landscape unit in thecategory of Irresistible.ReferencesKizyakov, A.I., Leibman, M.O. & Perednya, D.D. 2006.Destructive relief-forming processes at the coasts ofthe Arctic plains with tabular ground ice. KriosferaZemli X(2): 79-89 (in Russian).Melnikov, E.S. (ed.). 1983. Landscapes of Cryolithoz<strong>on</strong>e ofWestern-Siberian Gas Province. Novosibirsk: NaukaPublisher, 166 pp. (in Russian).Virtanen, T., Mikkola, K. & Nikula, A. 2004. Satellite imagebased vegetati<strong>on</strong> classificati<strong>on</strong> of a large area usinglimited ground reference data: case study in the Usa Basin,NE European Russia. Polar <strong>Research</strong> 23(1): 51-66.136

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