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Ninth International Conference on Permafrost ... - IARC Research

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Ni n t h In t e r n at i o n a l Co n f e r e n c e o n Pe r m a f r o s tTable 1. Probability of each significant variable in a stepwiseregressi<strong>on</strong> at each site.Site Variables Step Sig. Prob.Minimal ThawModerate ThawSevere ThawVWC20cmVWC10cmActive LayerVWC20cmActive LayerVWC10cm1212120.00000.06830.00000.00000.00000.0008Figure 1. Semivariogram and correlogram of microtopography ofthe three sites in EML. Semivariograms show autocorrelati<strong>on</strong> ofmicrotopography as a functi<strong>on</strong> of distance. Minimal Thaw site hashomogeneous surface; Moderate Thaw site has patchy depressi<strong>on</strong>within the thermokarst; and Severe Thaw site has large scaledepressi<strong>on</strong> and is heterogeneous.ResultsMicrotopographic patternsOur semivariogram and correlogram results show thatMinimal Thaw site has the most uniform surface pattern ofall 3 sites. There are patchy depressi<strong>on</strong>s within ModerateThaw site, while Severe Thaw site shows large-scaleheterogeneous depressi<strong>on</strong>s that are not autocorrelated over15 m (Fig. 1).Soil propertiesAll of the measured soil properties were significantlycorrelated to topographic patterns, except for soil temperaturedue to a measurement error. Am<strong>on</strong>g the soil propertymeasurements, VWC showed the str<strong>on</strong>gest relati<strong>on</strong>shipwith topographic patterns (p < 0.008) for all three sites,implying that soil moisture c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s changed the most dueto thermokarst development (Table 1).Carb<strong>on</strong> emissi<strong>on</strong>sMultiple regressi<strong>on</strong> analyses (Fig. 2) showed a negativecorrelati<strong>on</strong> between ecosystem respirati<strong>on</strong> and microtopographyat Severe and Minimal Thaw sites. Am<strong>on</strong>gthe envir<strong>on</strong>mental variables, the best predictor variablefor ecosystem C exchange was VWC from changes in soilproperties.C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>sChanges in microtopography created by thermokarstdevelopment alter soil properties, especially soil moisturec<strong>on</strong>tent by redistributing water when the ground surfacesubsides. Subsided areas showed higher CO 2emissi<strong>on</strong>s;therefore, we suggest thermokarst development maystimulate CO 2emissi<strong>on</strong>s in high latitude ecosystems.Figure 2. Relati<strong>on</strong>ship between microtopography and ecosystemrespirati<strong>on</strong> measured using dark CO 2chamber.AcknowledgmentsWe thank C. Staudhammer and M. Lavoie for advice <strong>on</strong>spatial analysis; UNAVCO for Trimble rental and training.This research was funded by NSF grant DEB-0516326awarded to EAGS.ReferencesChapin III, F.S. et al. 2000. Arctic and boreal ecosystems ofwestern North America as comp<strong>on</strong>ents of the climatesystem. Global Change Biology 6: 211-223.Gorham, E. 1991. Northern peatlands: Role in the carb<strong>on</strong>cycle and probable resp<strong>on</strong>ses to climatic warming.Ecological Applicati<strong>on</strong>s 1: 182-195.Jorgens<strong>on</strong>, M.T., Racine, C.H., Walters, J.C. & Osterkamp,T.E. 2001. <strong>Permafrost</strong> degradati<strong>on</strong> and ecologicalchanges associated with a warming climate in centralAlaska. Climate Change 48: 551-579.Oechel, W.C. et al. 2000. Acclimati<strong>on</strong> of ecosystem CO 2exchange in the Alaskan Arctic in resp<strong>on</strong>se to decadalclimate warming. Nature 406: 978-981.Osterkamp, T.E. & Romanovsky, V.E. 1999. Evidence forwarming and thawing of disc<strong>on</strong>tinuous permafrost inAlaska. <strong>Permafrost</strong> and Periglac. Process 10: 17-37.Osterkamp, T.E. 2007. Characteristics of the recent warmingof permafrost in Alaska. Journal of Geophysical<strong>Research</strong> 112: F02S02, DOI: 10.1029.Schuur, E.A.G., Crummer, K.G., Vogel, J.G. & Mack, M.C.2007. Plant species compositi<strong>on</strong> and productivityfollowing permafrost thaw and thermokarst inAlaskan tundra. Ecosystems 10: 280-292.174

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