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PDF: 5191 KB - Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional ...

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Chapter 5 | Projections <strong>of</strong> passenger movements on regional air routes5.4 Passenger movement projections onindividual regional air routesSummarised resultsPassenger movements are also projected to 2016 for each individual regional airroute existing in 2005. Out <strong>of</strong> the 415 routes in 2005, 203 routes are projected to havea positive trend in passenger traffic, 76 routes are projected to show a marginal ifnot stagnant trend in passenger growth, 79 routes are projected to show a decliningtrend in passenger traffic, <strong>and</strong> 57 routes contained inadequate time series data forreasonable projections.Table 5.1 shows all interstate routes where projected passenger movements onregional air routes exhibit a negative future trend. As shown, most <strong>of</strong> the interstate airroutes with projected passenger movements on the decline were between airports<strong>of</strong> large to medium size (Table 5.1).Table 5.1Interstate: regional air routes with projected passenger movementson the decline, 2005 to 2016Airport 1 State 1 Airport class 1 Airport 2 State 2 Airport class 2Adelaide SA Large Alice Springs NT LargeMelbourne VIC Large Burnie TAS MediumAyers Rock NT Large Perth WA LargeRockhampton QLD Large Sydney NSW LargeDarwin NT Large Kununurra WA MediumKing Isl<strong>and</strong> TAS Small Moorabbin VIC LargeBrisbane QLD Large Tamworth NSW MediumBrisbane QLD Large Port Macquarie NSW MediumAdelaide SA Large Launceston TAS LargeAdelaide SA Large Kalgoorlie WA LargeAyers Rock NT Large Townsville QLD LargeCanberra ACT Large Wagga Wagga NSW MediumAyers Rock NT Large Broome WA LargeSource:BITRE time series estimates.Table 5.2 shows all intrastate routes by state <strong>and</strong> territory where projected passengermovements on regional air routes exhibit a negative future trend. As shown, moreintrastate routes with projected passenger movement on decline were betweenairports <strong>of</strong> smaller sizes.155

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