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Chapter 5 | Projections of passenger movements on regional air routes5.4 Passenger movement projections onindividual regional air routesSummarised resultsPassenger movements are also projected to 2016 for each individual regional airroute existing in 2005. Out of the 415 routes in 2005, 203 routes are projected to havea positive trend in passenger traffic, 76 routes are projected to show a marginal ifnot stagnant trend in passenger growth, 79 routes are projected to show a decliningtrend in passenger traffic, and 57 routes contained inadequate time series data forreasonable projections.Table 5.1 shows all interstate routes where projected passenger movements onregional air routes exhibit a negative future trend. As shown, most of the interstate airroutes with projected passenger movements on the decline were between airportsof large to medium size (Table 5.1).Table 5.1Interstate: regional air routes with projected passenger movementson the decline, 2005 to 2016Airport 1 State 1 Airport class 1 Airport 2 State 2 Airport class 2Adelaide SA Large Alice Springs NT LargeMelbourne VIC Large Burnie TAS MediumAyers Rock NT Large Perth WA LargeRockhampton QLD Large Sydney NSW LargeDarwin NT Large Kununurra WA MediumKing Island TAS Small Moorabbin VIC LargeBrisbane QLD Large Tamworth NSW MediumBrisbane QLD Large Port Macquarie NSW MediumAdelaide SA Large Launceston TAS LargeAdelaide SA Large Kalgoorlie WA LargeAyers Rock NT Large Townsville QLD LargeCanberra ACT Large Wagga Wagga NSW MediumAyers Rock NT Large Broome WA LargeSource:BITRE time series estimates.Table 5.2 shows all intrastate routes by state and territory where projected passengermovements on regional air routes exhibit a negative future trend. As shown, moreintrastate routes with projected passenger movement on decline were betweenairports of smaller sizes.155
BITRE | Report 115Table 5.2156Intrastate: regional air routes with projected passenger movementson the decline, by state and territory, 2005 to 2016State Airport 1 Airport class 1 Airport 2 Airport class 2NSW Cooma Small Sydney LargeCoffs Harbour Large Port Macquarie MediumAlbury Large Wagga Wagga MediumMudgee Rural Sydney LargeCoonamble Rural Dubbo LargeCoonamble Rural Walgett RuralBathurst Small Orange MediumLightning Ridge Rural Walgett RuralCoffs Harbour Large Ballina LargeLord Howe Island Small Port Macquarie MediumBroken Hill Small Sydney LargeCoonabarabran Rural Gunnedah SmallOrange Medium West Wyalong RuralCobar Rural Sydney LargeDubbo Large Mudgee RuralNT Alice Springs Large Darwin LargeGove Medium Groote Eylandt SmallDarwin Large McArthur River SmallElcho Island Small Gove MediumAlice Springs Large Tennant Creek RuralElcho Island Small Ramingining RuralGove Medium Lake Evella RuralElcho Island Small Lake Evella RuralDarwin Large Katherine-Tindal RuralMilingimbi Small Ramingining RuralGroote Eylandt Small Numbulwar RuralKatherine-Tindal Rural Tennant Creek RuralLake Evella Rural Ramingining RuralQLD Mackay Large Rockhampton LargeCairns Large Dunk Island SmallBrisbane Large Thangool SmallBrisbane Large Maroochydore LargeCairns Large Lizard Island RuralCairns Large Mount Isa MediumCairns Large Karumba RuralBrisbane Large Oakey RuralBundaberg Medium Gladstone MediumQuilpie Rural Windorah RuralHughenden Rural Richmond RuralBirdsville Rural Windorah RuralJulia Creek Rural Richmond RuralCunnamulla Rural Thargomindah RuralRockhampton Large Townsville LargeMaroochydore Large Gold Coast LargeBarcaldine Rural Emerald MediumHervey Bay Medium Rockhampton Large(continued)
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Air transport services inregional A
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© Commonwealth of Australia, 2008I
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At a glance• Revenue passengers c
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2.3.4 Aircraft payload ............
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TablesTable 1.1Box 1.1ivAirports in
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Table 4.20Table 5.1Table 5.2Table 5
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FiguresFigure 1.1 ASGC Remoteness C
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Figure 3.1Figure 3.2Figure 3.3Figur
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Figure 4.14 Intrastate air services
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Executive summaryBackgroundIn recen
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Executive summaryKey findingsHistor
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Executive summaryThese contrasting
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Executive summaryhigh numbers of UC
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Executive summary4. Air services at
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IntroductionChapter 1
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BITRE | Report 115certain regional
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BITRE | Report 1151.4 Project ratio
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BITRE | Report 115Analyses undertak
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BITRE | Report 115This definition a
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BITRE | Report 115Also, in this rep
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BITRE | Report 115Figure 1.2 Differ
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Chapter 2Historical trends inregion
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Chapter 2 | Historical trends in re
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Chapter 3Past performance of air se
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BITRE | Report 115Between 2000 and
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BITRE | Report 115Figure 3.3 Per ce
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BITRE | Report 115Figure 3.5 Averag
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BITRE | Report 1153.2.1 Flight freq
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BITRE | Report 1153.2.2 Route densi
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BITRE | Report 115(b) Number of air
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BITRE | Report 115Most regional air
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BITRE | Report 115Figure 3.13 Route
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BITRE | Report 115As shown in Figur
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BITRE | Report 115Virgin Blue start
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BITRE | Report 115Northern Territor
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BITRE | Report 115Table 3.4Airlines
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BITRE | Report 115Major regional ai
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BITRE | Report 115Figure 3.23 Numbe
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BITRE | Report 115Major regional ai
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BITRE | Report 11596The number of r
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Chapter 4Access to regional air ser
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Figure 4.1 Changes in distribution
Page 135 and 136: BITRE | Report 115to provide air se
Page 137 and 138: BITRE | Report 115Figure 4.2 Inters
Page 139 and 140: BITRE | Report 115Figure 4.4 shows
Page 141 and 142: BITRE | Report 1154.2.3 Intrastate
Page 143 and 144: BITRE | Report 115There were 13 air
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Page 149 and 150: BITRE | Report 115There were 10 air
Page 151 and 152: BITRE | Report 115Figure 4.13 Chang
Page 153 and 154: BITRE | Report 115Figure 4.14 Intra
Page 159 and 160: BITRE | Report 1154.3 Airport catch
Page 161 and 162: BITRE | Report 115The second analys
Page 163 and 164: BITRE | Report 115Table 4.18 shows
Page 165 and 166: Figure 4.21 Locations beyond the as
Page 167 and 168: BITRE | Report 1154.4 Concluding ob
Page 170 and 171: Chapter 5Projections of passengermo
Page 172 and 173: Chapter 5 | Projections of passenge
Page 192: Chapter 6Air services in regional c
Page 195 and 196: BITRE | Report 115Figure 6.1 Region
Page 197 and 198: BITRE | Report 115Table 6.3 Distrib
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Page 209 and 210: BITRE | Report 1156.5 Summary and i
Page 211 and 212: BITRE | Report 115180Aircraft type
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Page 216 and 217: Appendix AHistorical trends inregio
Page 218 and 219: Appendix A | Historical trends in r
Page 230: Appendix BHistorical performance of
Page 233 and 234: BITRE | Report 115Table B1 Number o
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BITRE | Report 115Table B2Regional
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BITRE | Report 115Table B3 Route de
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BITRE | Report 115Table B3Route den
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Appendix CAccess to regionalair ser
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Appendix C | Access to regional air
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Appendix C | Access to regional air
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Appendix DForecasting process detai
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Appendix D | Forecasting process de
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Appendix D | Forecasting process de
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GlossaryAircraft movementASGC Remot
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GlossaryIndividual income(weekly)In
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GlossaryState and territory (S/T)St
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AbbreviationsABSACCCACTARIAASGCANSI
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ReferencesABS 2001a, 2001 Census Di
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ReferencesQuiggin, J. 1997, ‘Eval
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