2.5. PerspectivesDespite devastation caused by the war and the relatively slow political and rebuildingprocesses, Iraq has embarked on a new path for political and economic transformation. Awide consensus among Iraqis has appeared for an open and competitive market-basedeconomy, driven by the private sector. The process of recovering Iraq's historically vibranteconomic life has yet to be implemented in laws, regulations, and policies.The new direction the country has set out for the medium to longer run is articulatedin the National Development Strategy (NDS) for 2005/2007, setting out the main goals ofthe country's economic reform policies. The NDS aims at economic reform, based onpromoting the free market economy to achieve growth, while managing the social impactto ensure equity. Four main areas of work are outlined in the NDS, and presented below. 712.5.1. Enhance the role of the private sectorThe private sector is seen as the primary engine of economic diversification in Iraq.Realizing this vision will require institutional and legal changes to create the properenvironment. For the private sector to flourish, security must be established, the rule of lawstrengthened, and an efficient payments system and a diversified financial sectordeveloped. All quantitative and qualitative restrictions and sanctions which hindergeographical movement among different economic sectors must be removed.The private sector will perform a critical role in Iraq’s sustainable reconstruction anddevelopment process through the initial reconstruction effort. The Government mustestablish a regulatory environment capable of accommodating the private provision ofinfrastructure, thus allowing for the provision of essential infrastructure in a fiscallysustainable manner. The Government must also ensure basic public services and utilities.Well-functioning and efficiently-priced infrastructure will enable private sector growth. A“one stop” approach to investment facilitation is being considered, which should provebeneficial in facilitating investment and reducing initial costs of setting up and doingbusiness in Iraq. The Government will seek to streamline the process of licensing newbusiness.2.5.2. Develop human resourcesThe State must use its considerable financial resources to play a vital role indeveloping human resources as an investment in the present as well as in the future. Socialservices such as health, education and vocational training must be enhanced. Vulnerablegroups in the Iraqi society expanded due to war and sanctions, with their resultantdestruction and poverty. A comprehensive social aid network to protect these vulnerablegroups must be put in place.2.5.3. Strengthen the capacity of governmentalinstitutionsThe key challenge for public sector reform in Iraq is to strike a balance betweenemergency management and more long-term work. The strategy is aimed at diminishingthe size of the government over the next three years. The Government, however, willcontinue playing a dominant role in economic activity over this period, and will play a key71 MoPDC: "The National Development Strategy 2005/2007", October, 2004.60
ole as provider of public goods thereafter. Great attention must be given to promotingadministrative capacity. Governmental structure will be reconsidered, with the intent toeliminate governmental departments that compete with the private sector in economic andservice activities. The State will come to rely on the private sector for some purposes,rather than attempting to internalize these functions by enlarging its departments.An immediate need is for Iraqi institutions to strengthen systems of accountability.This will both improve the efficient use of Iraqi resources and facilitate the flow of donorfunds; this is particularly important to allow Iraq to absorb a large degree of donorassistance using its own existing administrative and implementation structures and withoutcreating parallel systems. The Government is also called upon to provide services to itscitizens in a transparent, respectful, efficient and dedicated manner, free of corruption. Thiswill require improved management to increase the efficiency of most governmentaldepartments, and attracting and training competent young people.A general civil service reform framework must be considered including all aspects ofhuman resource management, but focused on fiscal sustainability and ensuring atransitional process without creating socia l unrest. Additional accountability institutionsand anti-corruption initiatives are required, as is a system for setting priorities in publicspending, a degree of fiscal decentralization, improved public procurement and strongerfinancial management.Recent indications point to substantial progress in removing some of the obstacles toan open market. This progress, modest but positive, has been reflected in thestandardization of currency value, checking of the inflation rate, the institutionalization ofan open trade and investment regime with an emphasis on strengthening the private sector.Increase in external reserves and currency stabilization as a result of improvedmanagement of the money supply have helped in reducing inflation to 20 - 25 per centcompared to 40 - 50 per cent in 2004. 72 Some of these achievements have been reflected inrecent estimates of GDP per capita rising to about 1,200 US$ in 2004. 73 While theexchange rate has remained largely unchanged, the CBI aims to build up its netinternational reserves to at least 6.0 billion US$ by end of 2005. 74 Further, by the end of2004, oil production, which constitutes about three quarters of the economy, hadrecovered. Non-oil economic activity has also been recovering, driven by reconstructionand a partial revival in the agricultural sector, although many enterprises are not yet fullyoperational. Commercial activity at the retail level is brisk.However, two perilous areas, namely unemployment and security, continue to be themost challenging issues that could seriously undermine the whole economic, social andpolitical transformation the country is undergoing. The over two million unemployed areconsidered as one of the major sources of instability; job creation is therefore vital tobuilding peace and stability in Iraq. Reducing unemployment rates could make a majorcontribution in this regard, which could in turn help generate a recovery in investment andgrowth, or "at least reduce its detrimental effect on the livelihood, security and progress ofIraq.” 75 A “plan of action”, which was adopted by the International EmploymentConference on Jobs for the Future of Iraq, organised by the ILO in December 2004 inAmman, focused on the optimal means to capitalize on the reconstruction drive in Iraq andhow it can create jobs. 7672 Mr. Senan Al Shabibi Governor of the CBI)73 Dr Mehdi AlHafidh, former Minister of Planning and Development Cooperation, Speaking at a Conference onRebuilding Iraq, Amman, 200574 IMF Country Report no..o4/325, September, 200475 Former Iraqi Labour and Social Affairs Minister Leila Abdul Latif statement to the ILO Amman Conference,December, 200476International Employment Conference Jobs for the Future of Iraq, Amman, 12 to 13 December, 200461
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HEI-ILO Research Programme onStreng
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PrefaceThis three-volume series res
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Table of contentsPreface...........
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The Private Sector and Social Partn
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Executive summaryPrivate enterprise
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IGOs, NGOs—tend to exclude, or at
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- Page 48: AcknowledgmentsThe authors of this
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- Page 54 and 55: Executive summaryDespite the rich n
- Page 56 and 57: 1. IntroductionSince 1979, under th
- Page 58 and 59: 2. Country profileThe Republic of I
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- Page 62 and 63: for university education concerning
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- Page 102 and 103: 33. What are the cost components of
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Research methodologyThe research te
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possibility of conflict. In 1992, a
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2.2.2. PovertyAfter the break-up of
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of almost 10 per cent of GDP, yet i
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Source of initial financing: privat
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‘It is important to point out tha
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4.2. The economic resilience of int
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medium-sized companies employing 24
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5.2. Addressing constraints for SME
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5.4. Support to local initiativesSM
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ConclusionConsidering the actual an
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Scott, Norman: Macedonia: A Brief E
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Official gross reserves 4 290 450 7
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4. Survey questionnaire1. Name of t
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139
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141
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143
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2. Le contexte2.1. Le paradoxe ango
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Composition et description des Futu
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Les généraux angolais sont prése
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Les syndicats officielsL’Union na
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Une étude réalisée en 2003 pour
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3.3. Sortir du cercle vicieux : vie
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Annexes1. Morceaux choisis : le «
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159
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L’implication des partenaires soc
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Table des matièresTable des matiè
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RemerciementsQu’il me soit permis
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Liste des acronymesAFASPAALEANEAANS
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GlossaireAide d’urgence :Aléa :A
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Résumé exécutifAu cours des dix
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1. IntroductionLe département de R
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Limites de l’étudeAvant de proc
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évalué à plus de deux milliards
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2.2.2. Aspects démographiquesLes p
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2.3.3. EducationDès l’indépenda
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création de fonds de stabilisation
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3. Analyse des formes de réponse :
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• le secteur de l’Eau sera dest
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• la révision de la législation
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de main-d’œuvre, encourageant la
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leur fournissait les équipements e
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matérielle sous des formes diverse
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centre de l’attention des partena
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• le rôle dévolu à la commissi
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Renforcer le rôle de solidarité d
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ConclusionLa dimension de la tache
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Equipe Multidisciplinaire pour l’
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2. Séries statistiquesTable 8 : Ev
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Table 11 : Répartition de la popul
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Table 2 : Liste détaillée des com
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Table 4 : Dispositif d’interventi
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Organisation de l’unité syndical
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- Centre technique de construction.
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219