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Third IMO Greenhouse Gas Study 2014

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List of figures xxi<br />

Annex Figures<br />

Page<br />

Figure 1: Stand-alone pre-processor program with a graphic user interface.<br />

The pre-processor has been programmed with Java ......................... 161<br />

Figure 2: Sea region definition illustration. GIS shapefile has been read by the pre-processor.<br />

The resolution of the sea region mapping is 0.1 × 0.1 degrees .................. 161<br />

Figure 3: NA-ECA polygons drawn with Google Earth <strong>2014</strong>. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162<br />

Figure 4: Geographical distribution of AIS messages processed by the pre-processor<br />

for 2007 and 2012. All available AIS data sets have been combined.<br />

Unit: total number of messages per grid cell with an area of 0.2 × 0.2 degrees.<br />

Both plots are the same scale .......................................... 163<br />

Figure 5: Top plot shows the reported speed for an indicative ship between 15 January 2011<br />

and 31 January 2011, each message with an opacity of 50% so that density<br />

is apparent. The lower plot shows the same ship with the speeds resampled.<br />

A reliability of 0 indicates that there was no activity report<br />

for that resampled hour .............................................. 164<br />

Figure 6: Example plot of coverage indicated by source of data ........................ 165<br />

Figure 7: Characterization of ship phases used in the extrapolation algorithm<br />

for an example very large crude carrier (VLCC) in 2012. The top plot shows<br />

the phase labels for each data point at given speeds (y-axis)<br />

and the lower plot classifies the data into high and low<br />

standard deviation of speed within a six-hour window ....................... 166<br />

Figure 8: Illustration of the extrapolation process ................................... 167<br />

Figure 9: Activity and ship technical and operational data merger process ................ 175<br />

Figure 10: Geographical distribution of AIS messages processed by the pre-processor<br />

for 2009–2012. All available AIS data sets (both satellite and terrestrial)<br />

have been combined. Unit: total number of messages per grid cell<br />

with an area of 0.2 × 0.2 degrees ....................................... 196<br />

Figure 11: Repeat plots for 2008 and 2007 as for Figure 4 with the same scale ............. 197<br />

Figure 12: Geographical distribution of LRIT messages processed by the pre-processor<br />

for 2009–2012. Unit: total number of messages per grid cell<br />

with an area of 0.2 × 0.2 degrees ....................................... 198<br />

Figure 13: The average volume of AIS activity reports for a region reported by a ship<br />

for up to 300 randomly selected VLCCs from 2007 to 2012 ................... 199<br />

Figure 14: The average volume of AIS activity reports for a region reported by a ship<br />

for up to 300 randomly selected Capesize bulk carriers from 2007 to 2012 ........ 200<br />

Figure 15: Fraction of time intervals between consecutive messages that fall between<br />

five and seven hours for each ship type and size category ..................... 201<br />

Figure 16: Plots of difference in fraction of time spent at sea for all ships, with increasing<br />

high-confidence AIS count over the year. For each ship in one of these 5%-wide bins,<br />

the difference between fraction of time at sea between AIS and LRIT is calculated.<br />

The mean of this difference per bin is plotted in red, and the standard deviation<br />

of the difference in each bin is plotted in blue .............................. 203<br />

Figure 17: Distribution of difference between resampled hourly speeds<br />

and the reported speed within the hour sampled across 10 VLCCs in 2011.<br />

The standard deviation was calculated as 0.75 nm/hr ........................ 204<br />

Figure 18: Distribution of difference between reported speeds when the time difference<br />

in reporting is within two hours (sampled as message from 105 minutes to<br />

120 minutes from the original message) for all VLCCs captured in AIS.<br />

The standard deviation of the sample was 1.85 nm/hr ........................ 204

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