Third IMO Greenhouse Gas Study 2014

278 Third IMO GHG Study 2014
Table 46 – Development of distribution of global LPG fleet
in terms of numbers
Capacity range (m 3 ) Distribution in 2012 Development until 2050 Distribution in 2050
0–49,000 87% Share will decline 75%
50,000–199,999 13% Share of VLGCs will rise 25%
200,000–+ 0% No LPG carriers will
become available
0%
The average capacity of an LPG carrier has gradually risen in the period 1999–2012: at the end of 1999 it
amounted to about 13,700 m 3 , and at the end of 2011 to about 16,100 m 3 (see Figure 48).
If this trend continued, an LPG carrier would on average have a capacity of 24,500 m 3 in 2050.
From the expected 2050 distribution of the LPG fleet as given in Table 46 and the assumption that the average
ship size per size bin does not change compared to 2012, it can be concluded that in 2050 the average size
of an LPG ship is expected to have a capacity of approximately 25,100 m 3 , which is only slightly higher than
expected from the historical trend.
Source: Based on OPEC (Annual Statistical Bulletin for the years 1999–2012)
Figure 48: Development of the average size of LPG carriers
in the period 1999–2012
For LNG and LPG ships taken together, we expect the following development of the distribution of the gas
carrier fleet in terms of numbers of ships.
Table 47 – Development of distribution (in terms of numbers of ships)
of the global gas carrier fleet
Capacity range (m3) Distribution in 2012 Distribution in 2050
0–49,000 68% 32%
50,000–199,999 29% 66%
200,000–+ 3% 2%
If the average ship size per size bin does not change compared to 2012, the average size of a liquefied gas
carrier will be approximately 85,000 m 3 or 50,000 dwt in 2050.