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Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basin Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />

March 30th 2013<br />

Turkey and the PKK<br />

The war may be over<br />

Will a Kurdish lea<strong>de</strong>r’s peace offering stick?<br />

ANKARA<br />

ABDULLAH OCALAN, the Kurdish rebel<br />

lea<strong>de</strong>r and sole inmate of a Turkish island<br />

prison since 1999, should by now “have<br />

become a perfect irrelevance, the living<br />

<strong>de</strong>ad, a Kurdish Ariel Sharon. And y<strong>et</strong> he<br />

had not. His every <strong>de</strong>lusional sally, every<br />

spasm of self-pity and promotion was<br />

gre<strong>et</strong>ed by his supporters as evi<strong>de</strong>nce for<br />

an ability to outsmart his jailers.” Thus<br />

wrote a puzzled Christopher <strong>de</strong> Bellaigue,<br />

a British author (and a former correspon<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

for this paper) in “Rebel Land”, a tale<br />

of eastern Turkey published in 2009.<br />

Five years on, Turkey is banking on Mr<br />

Ocalan’s continued grip to end the 29year-long<br />

rebellion waged by his outlawed<br />

Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). On March<br />

21st, in a calibrated message read out by<br />

members of the pro-Kurdish Peace and<br />

Democracy (BDP) party to over a million<br />

Kurds gathered in Diyarbakir, in south-eastern<br />

Turkey, Mr Ocalan heral<strong>de</strong>d the dawn<br />

of “a new Turkey”, saying it was time for<br />

“the guns to fall silent and for i<strong>de</strong>as to<br />

speak”. Assurances followed that the<br />

Kurds no longer had <strong>de</strong>signs on Turkey’s<br />

bor<strong>de</strong>rs. Turks and Kurds ought to “unite<br />

un<strong>de</strong>r the banner of Islam”.<br />

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s mildly<br />

Islamist prime minister, called Mr Ocalan’s<br />

prose “positive”. Murat Karayilan, a senior<br />

PKK comman<strong>de</strong>r in Kurdish-controlled northern<br />

Iraq, swiftly <strong>de</strong>clared a ceasefire.<br />

The pro-government Turkish media were<br />

awash with triumphalism. “The war is<br />

over”, assorted screeds <strong>de</strong>clared.<br />

This may be premature. Mr Ocalan did<br />

not s<strong>et</strong> any <strong>de</strong>adlines for the withdrawal<br />

of some 3,000 PKK fighters from the<br />

mainly Kurdish south-east. Nor did he spe-<br />

Tirs <strong>de</strong> l'artillerie turque<br />

contre <strong>de</strong>s bases du<br />

PKK dans le nord <strong>de</strong> l'Irak<br />

Erbil (Irak), 28 mars 2013 (AFP)<br />

L'ARTILLERIE TURQUE a procédé à <strong>de</strong>s tirs contre <strong>de</strong>s bases irakiennes<br />

du Parti <strong>de</strong>s travailleurs du Kurdistan (PKK), une semaine après l'appel<br />

au cessez-le-feu du chef <strong>de</strong>s rebelles, ont indiqué un responsable du<br />

PKK <strong>et</strong> une source au sein <strong>de</strong>s forces <strong>de</strong> sécurité turques jeudi.<br />

Les tirs d'obus, qui sont tombés dans la province <strong>de</strong> Dohuk, frontalière <strong>de</strong> la<br />

Turquie, "n'ont fait aucun blessé. Nos membres n'étaient pas là au moment <strong>de</strong><br />

l'attaque" mercredi, a précisé un responsable du PKK à l'AFP sous couvert<br />

d'anonymat.<br />

Ocalan is still pulling the crowds<br />

cifically say they should disarm. In a subsequent<br />

interview Mr Karayilan was less<br />

diplomatic. His men were as ready for<br />

peace as they were for war. The ceasefire<br />

needs to be mutually observed and the<br />

government must embark on long-promised<br />

reforms, he said. Among these is a<br />

judicial reform package that would allow<br />

thousands of Kurdish activists and politicians,<br />

locked up on flimsy “terror”<br />

charges, to walk free.<br />

An amnesty for PKK fighters untainted<br />

by violence and improved prison conditions<br />

for Mr Ocalan are also on the list.<br />

Above all, the Kurds want a new “<strong>de</strong>mocratic”<br />

constitution enshrining their own<br />

cultural and political rights. In short, any<br />

withdrawal needs to be synchronised with<br />

these reforms. None of this will be easy.<br />

Seven previous ceasefires have come to<br />

naught.<br />

Mr Erdogan is no stranger to risk. He<br />

has <strong>de</strong>clawed hawkish generals and jailed<br />

hundreds of those who plotted to unseat<br />

him. His pro-secular and ultranationalist<br />

rivals are pitifully weak. His national spy<br />

chief and Mr Ocalan have stitched a <strong>de</strong>al.<br />

(Mr Erdogan’s earlier threats to revive the<br />

<strong>de</strong>ath penalty may have had an effect.) Its<br />

terms were largely dictated by the<br />

government. It is rumoured to inclu<strong>de</strong><br />

assurances that the BDP will back Mr<br />

Erdogan’s bid for the presi<strong>de</strong>ncy next<br />

year.<br />

Should he fail, Mr Ocalan may g<strong>et</strong> the<br />

blame, which could lead to a splintering<br />

of the PKK. “This is Erdogan’s true aim: to<br />

drive a wedge b<strong>et</strong>ween Ocalan and the<br />

mountains,” a v<strong>et</strong>eran BDP officials<br />

claims. Others speculate that he wants to<br />

buy temporary calm in or<strong>de</strong>r to secure an<br />

easy ri<strong>de</strong> to the presi<strong>de</strong>ncy.<br />

Mr Erdogan owes his unprece<strong>de</strong>nted<br />

heft to his vision and, most of all, to a<br />

strong pragmatic streak. It prompted him<br />

to embrace Iraq’s Kurds, whose vast<br />

energy riches and seemingly limitless hunger<br />

for Turkish goods and services are<br />

expected to boost growth. In another dramatic<br />

U-turn Mr Erdogan <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d to<br />

accept Israel’s apology on March 22nd for<br />

its 2010 raid on a Gaza-bound flotilla,<br />

which left nine Turks <strong>de</strong>ad (see article).<br />

Mr Erdogan, whose many ambitions<br />

inclu<strong>de</strong> hosting the 2020 Olympics in<br />

Istanbul, must know that a divi<strong>de</strong>d and<br />

more radical PKK is likely to resort to the<br />

sort of terrorism that would make Turkey’s<br />

relatively calm cities unsafe. “Solving the<br />

PKK problem is not the same as solving the<br />

Kurdish problem,” warned Safeen<br />

Dizayee, a spokesman for the Iraqi Kurdish<br />

statel<strong>et</strong>. History has shown that until their<br />

rights are granted, the Kurds will rise up<br />

again and again. ■<br />

Les tirs visaient <strong>de</strong>s bases arrière du PKK <strong>et</strong> avaient pour but <strong>de</strong> "dissua<strong>de</strong>r<br />

les rebelles d'entrer en Turquie", a précisé une source au sein <strong>de</strong>s forces <strong>de</strong><br />

sécurité turques.<br />

C'est la première fois que l'armée turque visait <strong>de</strong>s bases arrière du PKK en<br />

Irak <strong>de</strong>puis l'appel du chef du PKK emprisonné Abdullah Öcalan au cessez-lefeu<br />

<strong>et</strong> au r<strong>et</strong>rait du territoire turc, rendu public la semaine <strong>de</strong>rnière.<br />

Le comman<strong>de</strong>ment militaire du PKK a officialisé samedi c<strong>et</strong>te trêve <strong>et</strong> précisé<br />

que le r<strong>et</strong>rait ne commencerait qu'après la mise en place <strong>de</strong> mécanismes "ad<br />

hoc" chargés <strong>de</strong> le surveiller.<br />

Fruit <strong>de</strong> plusieurs mois <strong>de</strong> pourparlers avec le gouvernement islamo-conservateur<br />

au pouvoir en Turquie, l'appel du chef historique du PKK a ravivé les<br />

espoirs <strong>de</strong> paix dans un conflit qui a fait plus <strong>de</strong> 45.000 morts <strong>de</strong>puis 1984. ❍<br />

93

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