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Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

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48<br />

Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basin Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />

19 March 2013<br />

Turkish PM<br />

Erdogan<br />

hopeful for<br />

peaceful<br />

resolution of<br />

long conflict<br />

with Kurdish<br />

rebels<br />

Associated Press<br />

ANKARA, Turkey – Turkey's prime<br />

minister said he hopes this week's<br />

spring festival, which is celebrated by<br />

Kurds, will herald the start of a peaceful<br />

resolution of the country's nearly<br />

30-year-old conflict with Kurdish<br />

rebels.<br />

Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan spoke<br />

Tuesday ahead of Thursday's spring Newroz<br />

festivities, when jailed Kurdish rebel lea<strong>de</strong>r<br />

Abdullah Ocalan said he would make a "historic<br />

call" toward peace. Kurdish officials<br />

have said Ocalan is expected to reveal his<br />

road map for peace, including a possible<br />

March / 21 / 2013<br />

NİHAT ALİ ÖZCAN<br />

The Syrian opposition elected their first<br />

prime minister at an Istanbul me<strong>et</strong>ing.<br />

The efforts to build an alternative government<br />

will continue. They hope that forming<br />

such a government will help organize the<br />

aid received, reinforce their military power<br />

and grant them international legitimacy.<br />

The plan is to put military and political<br />

pressure on Syrian Presi<strong>de</strong>nt Bashar al-<br />

Assad and thereby acquire a more powerful<br />

position at the negotiation table.<br />

The disorganized state of the opposition<br />

is still a serious problem. Their plan<br />

can work only if they manage to stand united.<br />

Two groups are especially prominent:<br />

The Islamist Al-Nusra Front, <strong>de</strong>signated by<br />

the U.S. as a terrorist organization and the<br />

Kurds un<strong>de</strong>r the control of the Democratic<br />

Union Party (PYD), which has been ostracized<br />

by Turkey.<br />

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip<br />

Erdogan addresses <strong>de</strong>puties on March<br />

19, 2013 at the parliament in Ankara.<br />

cease-fire <strong>de</strong>claration and a tim<strong>et</strong>able for his<br />

fighters' r<strong>et</strong>reat from Turkey.<br />

Turkish officials have been holding talks with<br />

Ocalan on his prison island off Istanbul with<br />

the aim of persuading his autonomy-seeking<br />

group to disarm. The conflict with Ocalan's<br />

Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, has killed<br />

tens of thousands of people since 1984.<br />

"May this Newroz bring hope, may Newroz,<br />

so to say, be the insemination of the process<br />

for a solution," Erdogan told lawmakers in<br />

parliament.<br />

Turkey has admitted to holding failed, secr<strong>et</strong><br />

peace talks with the PKK before. The latest<br />

initiative is being carried out more publicly<br />

and follows a surge in violence last summer<br />

that killed hundreds of people.<br />

The government has said the rebel group<br />

would lay down arms and withdraw several<br />

thousands of fighters from Turkey's territory<br />

as part of the peace efforts, but has not<br />

Erdoğan’s negotiations with the<br />

PKK and the Syrian Kurds<br />

Leaving asi<strong>de</strong> the Al-Nusra Front, the<br />

Kurds un<strong>de</strong>r the wing of the PYD currently<br />

seem to be the most organized, powerful<br />

and politically <strong>de</strong>termined force that could<br />

support the opposition. Although they<br />

have their own objectives and strategies,<br />

one of the reasons why the PYD distances<br />

itself from the opposition is the dismissive<br />

stance of Turkey. The PKK followed a<br />

smart strategy from the outs<strong>et</strong> of the Syrian<br />

inci<strong>de</strong>nts and reinforced the PYD’s political,<br />

diplomatic and military power. Now<br />

the PYD works efficiently.<br />

The outlawed Kurdistan Workers’<br />

Party (PKK) connection keeps Turkey from<br />

entering into friendly relations with the<br />

PYD. Turkey openly used its geopolitical<br />

leverage to ask its allies to keep away from<br />

the PYD. It even tried to weaken the PKK<br />

influence on Syria’s Kurds. It tried to<br />

strengthen Masoud Barzani, the presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

of northern Iraq, and supported certain<br />

revealed what steps Turkey will take.<br />

Erdogan ruled out any "bargaining, concessions,<br />

back-stepping" or steps that would<br />

"hurt" the families of the violence's victims.<br />

"Whatever step we take, we take it for (the<br />

welfare) of the people and the country,"<br />

Erdogan said.<br />

The PKK is consi<strong>de</strong>red a terrorist organization<br />

by Turkey, the United States and Europe<br />

and Ocalan is serving a life sentence for leading<br />

the insurgency. He said in a message<br />

relayed by Kurdish legislators on Monday<br />

that he would outline all the "military and<br />

political steps" of the peace process on<br />

Thursday.<br />

But Ocalan also suggested that Turkey's<br />

parliament nee<strong>de</strong>d to take steps to advance<br />

the peace process.<br />

Kurds want the government to carry out<br />

reforms that would increase Kurdish rights.<br />

The Hurriy<strong>et</strong> newspaper said Ocalan was<br />

also seeking guarantees that his rebel fighters<br />

would not be attacked as they withdraw<br />

from Turkey to bases in northern Iraq.<br />

Turkish forces reportedly attacked PKK<br />

guerrillas as they r<strong>et</strong>reated in 1999 while<br />

obeying or<strong>de</strong>rs from Ocalan who had appealed<br />

for peace soon after his capture that<br />

year, as well as during another unilateral<br />

<strong>de</strong>cision to withdraw in 2004. The PKK has<br />

<strong>de</strong>clared unilateral cease-fires on several<br />

occasions in the past but they were ignored<br />

by the state.<br />

Turkey's Justice Minister Sadullah Ergin said<br />

the rebels' withdrawal would likely start this<br />

month and continue to the end of the year. ◆<br />

Arab tribes and radical groups to put military<br />

and psychological pressure on the<br />

PYD. None of these attempts seem to have<br />

succee<strong>de</strong>d.<br />

The government of Prime Minister<br />

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently negotiating<br />

with the PKK, the “real boss” of the<br />

PYD, and discussing the future of the<br />

Kurds not only in Turkey, but in the whole<br />

region. These negotiations are likely to<br />

affect Syria’s Kurds, too. As the negotiations<br />

with the PKK continue, Turkey’s PYD<br />

policy will change. The pressure on the<br />

PYD will <strong>de</strong>cline in the short run.<br />

It won’t be a surprise to see the PKK<br />

shift the focus of its military strategy<br />

toward Syria. A militarily, politically and<br />

diplomatically well-organized PYD will<br />

become an important force within the<br />

Syrian opposition. The Kurds will acquire a<br />

status in post-al-Assad Syria similar to that<br />

in Iraq, though not in the short run. In the<br />

short run Erdoğan might seem to be on the<br />

winning si<strong>de</strong> due to his management of the<br />

domestic Kurdish problem. In the middle<br />

run, however, he will have to face a more<br />

complicated Kurdish problem. ■

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