russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
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omlebic gavlenas axdenen qarTul-rusuli urTierTobebis globalur<br />
konteqstze.<br />
bolo drois erT-erTi yvelaze mniSvnelovani movlena iyo tunisis revolucia,<br />
romelsac mohyva vnebaTaRelvaTa `domino~ CrdiloeT afrikisa da axlo<br />
aRmosavleTis TiTqmis yvela arabul qveyanaSi. arabul revoluciur<br />
gazafxuls globaluri Sedegebi mohyva, man imoqmeda ara marto navTobis fasze,<br />
migraciul nakadebsa Tu iaraRis bazarze, aramed _ politikuri realiebis<br />
axlebur konceptualur gaazrebazec. Tumca aRsaniSnavia `revoluciuri<br />
magaliTis~ sakmaod SezRuduli pirdapiri gavlena arabuli samyaros gareT<br />
arsebul viTarebaze, mraval qveyanaSi, sadac avtoritaruli Tu naxevrad<br />
avtoritaruli reJimi sufevs, politikuri elita SeSfoTebuli adevnebs Tvals<br />
movlenaTa amgvar ganviTarebas 154 .<br />
arabul samyaroSi ganviTarebulma movlenebma gamoiwvia naxSirwyalbadebis<br />
bazris destabilizacia. am fonze navTobis fasebma umaRles niSnuls miaRwia<br />
($118-120 - BRENT) 155 , Tumca Semdeg isev daiwia. amasTan, SeiniSneba SedarebiT<br />
neli, magram radikaluri cvlilebebi msoflio energetikis sferoSi.<br />
igulisxmeba mzardi moTxovna energiis ganaxlebadi da aratradiciuli<br />
wyaroebis gamoyenebaze (Tumca iaponiis movlenebis Sedegad atomurma<br />
energetikam ki Zlieri Soki ganicada). gansakuTrebuli mniSvneloba mieniWa<br />
fiqlis gazis mopovebas, rac amcirebs energoresursebis didi momwodebeliqveynebis<br />
gavlenas da kardinalur cvlilebebs iwvevs msoflio energetikul<br />
bazrebze. ase, amJamad aSS gazze moTxovnilebas mTlianad sakuTari wyaroebiT<br />
ikmayofilebs, ramac ukve gamoiwvia gaTxevadebuli airis nakadebis<br />
gadamisamarTeba evropisaken da sxva qveynebisaken, ramac Seamcira maTi<br />
damokidebuleba SedarebiT Zvir milsadenebiT mowodebul gazze. axali<br />
teqnologiebiT SesaZlebelia fiqlis airis resursis sakmaod sarfiani<br />
mopoveba evropaSic (poloneTi, germania, avstria, rumineTi, ukraina). fiqlis<br />
gazis mniSvnelovani maragia aRmoCenili CineTsa da indoeTSic 156 .<br />
ruseTisgan gansxvavebiT, saqarTvelo Raribia naxSirwyalbadebiT, Tumca<br />
garkveuli optimizmis saSualebas iZleva rogorc aRmosavleT saqarTveloSi<br />
ukve eqspluataciaSi Sesuli WaburRilebi, ise Savi zRvis sanapiros gaswvriv<br />
Rrma ganlagebis navTobis pirveli niSnebi 157 . dReisaTvis ki ufro mniSvnelovani<br />
faqtoria saqarTvelos tranzituli funqcia, raki aq navTobisa da gazis<br />
ramdenime mniSvnelovani milsadeni gadis. rac Seexeba hidroenergetikul<br />
resursebs, riTic marTlac mdidaria saqarTvelo, maTi srulfasovnad<br />
gamoyenebisaTvis saWiroa investiciebi — rogorc arsebuli obieqtebis<br />
rekonstruqciisTvis, ise axali hidroeleqtrosadgurebis mSeneblobisTvis.<br />
marTalia, hidroenergetikaze damokidebuleba saqarTvelos xdis mgrZnobiares<br />
154 saintereso iyo CrdiloeT afrikis movlenebTan dakavSirebiT ruseTis federaciis<br />
prezidentis dimitri medvedevis reaqcia. vladikavkazSi Catarebul erovnuli<br />
antiteroristuli komitetis sxdomaze man ganacxada: `SexedeT im viTarebas, romelic axlo<br />
aRmosavleTsa da arabul samyaroSi Seiqmna. is umZimesia. didi sirTuleebia mosalodneli. zog<br />
SemTxvevaSi SeiZleba moxdes didi, mWidrod dasaxlebuli saxelmwifoebis dezintegracia, maTi<br />
patar-patara nawilebad daSla... simarTles TvalebSi unda SevxedoT. isini (NB) aseT scenarebs<br />
adre CvenTvis amzadebdnen, axla, miT umetes, ufro Seecdebian mis ganxorcielebas. nebismier<br />
SemTxvevaSi, CvenTan es scenari ar gauvaT. magram yvelaferi, rac iq xdeba, pirdapir<br />
zemoqmedebas axdens Cvens situaciaze, vgulisxmob sakmaod xangrZliv, aTwleulebis<br />
perspeqtivas~. http://kremlin.ru/news/10408<br />
155 http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/03/09/us-markets-commodities-id INTRE7287I520110309<br />
156 http://www.gas-shales.org/<br />
157 ix . : Boyko Nitzov. The Black Sea as the New North Sea. New Atlanticist, May 19, 2010.<br />
http://www.acus.org/new_atlanticist/black-sea-new-north-sea<br />
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