russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
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Tuki es tendencia SenarCundeba, maSin saSualovadian perspeqtivaSi<br />
CrdiloeTi kavkasia SeiZleba faqtoridan, romelic periodulad da<br />
lokalurad moqmedebda rusul-qarTuli urTierTobebis destabilizaciaze,<br />
gadaiqces Cveni qveynebis gamyof arastabilurobis mTlian zonad. aseT<br />
viTarebaSi saqarTvelo dainteresebulia uSualod mis sazRvrebTan<br />
mimdinare procesebis monitoringis sistemis SeqmniT (risi gakeTebac<br />
SeuZlebelia calmxriv reJimSi) da sasazRvro regionebTan yvela doneze<br />
kavSirebis damyarebiT. saqarTvelo am mimarTulebiT ukve dgams raRac<br />
nabijebs, magram es yovelTvis ar aris nakarnaxevi mkacrad pragmatuli<br />
miznebiT da warmoadgens ruseTis zewolaze sapasuxo politikur zomebs.<br />
axali Crdilokavkasiuri politikis agebisas saqarTvelo iqceva, rogorc<br />
normaluri regionuli saxelmwifo, magram, cxadia, rom Tbiliss yovelTvis<br />
ar SeuZlia aqtualuri Crdilokavkasiuri situaciis obieqturi analizi.<br />
kerZod, Cerqezul sazogadoebriv organizaciebTan kontaqtebis<br />
gaaqtiurebisas qarTuli mxare xSirad srulad ar iTvaliswinebs regionSi<br />
CerqezTa mezoblebis (magaliTad, yaraCaul-balyaruli jgufisa da eTnikuri<br />
rusebis) interesebs.<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasiasTan sakuTar urTierTobebs saqarTvelo afxazeTsa da<br />
samxreT oseTSi konfliqtebis gamocdilebis konteqstiT da am gamocdilebis<br />
gaTvaliswinebiT agebs. saqarTvelos axsovs, rogor axdenda ruseTi am<br />
konfliqtebSi saqarTvelos moqmedebis demonizirebas da faqtobrivad<br />
rogor CaiTria Crdilokavkasiuri eTnosebi saqarTvelos teritoriaze<br />
mimdinare konfliqtebSi TviTgamocxadebuli respublikis mxares. am<br />
gamocdilebis argaTvaliswineba SeuZlebelia, magram dRev<strong>and</strong>el situaciaSi<br />
ufro mizanSewonilad gvesaxeba urTierTobebis ageba, Tu `sufTa<br />
furclidan~ ara, Zveli gamocdilebis SeZlebisdagvarad abstrahirebiT<br />
mainc, romlis farglebSic garedan Semotanilma sqemebma daamaxinja did<br />
kavkasiaSi mcxovrebi mezobeli eTnosebis urTierTaRqma, daabrkola saerTo<br />
interesebis Zieba da saerTo miznis miRweva. dRes CrdiloeT kavkasiaSi<br />
saqarTvelos politikis gaaqtiureba didadaa nakarnaxevi saqarTvelos<br />
SiSiT, rom CrdiloeT kavkasiaze ruseTis kontrolis dakargvis SemTxvevaSi<br />
kavkasiis mosaxleobis agresiuli nawilis interesTa obieqti swored<br />
prodasavluri da sekularuli saqarTvelo gaxdeba. bunebrivia, saqarTvelo<br />
dainteresebulia, rom gamyardes saqarTvelos _ regionuli centrisa da<br />
eTnikur-religiuri tolerantobis magaliTis _ statusi. amave dros<br />
saqarTvelos gacnobierebuli aqvs, rom stabiluri CrdiloeTi kavkasia<br />
albaT aris erTaderTi saerTo interesi ruseTTan, romlis safuZvelzec<br />
Serigebis procesis ageba SesaZlebelia `aq da axla~.<br />
Tavis mxriv, ruseTi cdilobs, rom CrdiloeT kavkasiaSi qarTuli politikis<br />
gaaqtiureba am regionis destabilizaciisken gadadgmul mtrul qmedebad<br />
axsnas (marTalia, yovelTvis ase ar xdeba, magram niS<strong>and</strong>oblivia, rom<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasiis macxovrebelTaTvis sazRvris Tavisuflad gadakveTis<br />
SemoRebasTan dakavSirebiT ruseTis reaqcia sakmaod TavSekavebuli iyo).<br />
amasTanave, ruseTi Tavadvea dainteresebuli strategiulad, rom misi<br />
saqarTvelosTan sazRvari iqces magar zurgad, romelsac SeiZleba daeyrdno<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasiaSi sakuTari Sida problemebis gadaWrisas. cxadia, is<br />
`sayrdeni punqtebi~, romlebic ruseTma 2008 wlis agvistos omis Sedegad<br />
afxazeTsa da samxreT oseTSi miiRo, aseTi amocanis gadasawyvetad ar<br />
gamodgeba. naTelia isic, rom uaxloes perspeqtivaSi ruseTsa da<br />
saqarTvelos SeuZliaT da unda gamonaxon kidec did kavkasiaSi<br />
urTierTqmedebis orive mxarisTvis misaRebi algoriTmebi ise, rom ar Seexon<br />
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