russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
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gadasca). amasve eswrafvoda axali prezidentis dasavluri `beqgraundic~,<br />
romelic mentalurad Sors iyo Crdilokavkasiuri realiebidan da<br />
saqarTvelos momavals modernizaciasa da vesternizacias ukavSirebda.<br />
moskovTan da piradad putinTan misi urTierTobis swrafi gauaresebis<br />
miuxedavad, saakaSvils ar ucdia Crdilokavkasiuri sakiTxiT manipulireba,<br />
riTac TiTqosda xazs usvamda separatizmTan brZolaSi saqarTvelos da<br />
ruseTis interesebis Tanxvedras, magram, rogorc ukve iTqva, 2008 wlis omma<br />
yvelaferi Secvala, kerZod ki:<br />
• omSi Crdilokavkasielebis monawileobam saqarTvelos moqalaqeebs<br />
1992-1993 wlis afxazeTis omi moagona. Tumca amjerad `stumrebi~<br />
gansakuTrebuli suliskveTebiT ar gamoirCeodnen (CrdilokavkasielTa<br />
umetesobas Seadgendnen eTnikuri CeCnebisgan dakompleqtebuli<br />
batalioni `vostokis~ mebrZolebi, romlebic omSi moskovidan miRebuli<br />
brZanebiT gaeSurnen, xolo danarCen nawils _ `moxaliseebi~, romlebic<br />
ZarcviT iyvnen dakavebuli). cxadi gaxda, rom 1990-ian wlebSi Tbilisma<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasiasTan urTierTobebisTvis Zvirfasi dro dakarga.<br />
afxazuri omis dros moskovi siamovnebiT adevnebda Tvals qarTvelebis<br />
CrdilokavkasielebTan `jajgurs~, axla ki pirdapir miusia isini<br />
saqarTvelos. da Tumca dadioda xmebi imis Sesaxeb, rom CeCnuri<br />
batalioni, romlis wevrebsac pankisuri movlenebi axsovdaT, qarTul<br />
mosaxleobas exmareboda, ar SeiZleba ugulebelvyoT `moxaliseebis~<br />
faqtori, romlebic saqarTvelom moizida Tavisi keTildReobiT,<br />
rogorc arcTu megobrulma adgilma, anu rogorc ZarcvisTvis<br />
xelsayrelma SesaZleblobam. aqedan gamomdinare, saqarTvelos<br />
CrdilokavksielTa warmodgenaSi unda Seeqmna sakuTari, rac SeiZleba<br />
pozitiuri xati da apelireba moexdina tradiciuli qarTul<br />
tolerantobasa da stumarTmoyvareobaze, raTa aRdgeniliyo Tbilisis,<br />
rogorc CrdilokavkasielTa saganmanaTleblo centris (gansakuTrebiT<br />
inguSebisTvis) funqcia. sabWoTa dros am funqcias saqarTvelos<br />
dedaqalaqi sakmaod warmatebiT asrulebda.<br />
• Tbilisidan 40 kilometris daSorebiT rusuli bazebis ganTavsebis da<br />
moskovis faqtobrivi uaris Semdeg, aRiaros saqarTvelos dRev<strong>and</strong>eli<br />
xelisufleba, ruseTis saxiT saqarTvelos ukve pirdapiri safrTxe<br />
gauCnda da, unda Tu ar unda, iZulebulia kontrzomebi miiRos da<br />
ruseTis mowyvladi adgilebi eZebos. swored aseTs warmoadgens<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasia, saqarTvelos yvelaze grZeli sazRvris gaswvriv<br />
gaWimuli zona, romelTanac, movlenaTa nebismieri ganviTarebis<br />
SemTxvevaSi, saWiroa saerTo enis gamonaxva.<br />
• dabols, faqtori, romelic 2008 wlis omTan pirdapir ar aris<br />
dakavSirebuli, magram romlis gaazrebac ukanasknel wlebSi CrdiloeT<br />
kavkasiaSi situaciis mkveTr gauaresebas mohyva. regionSi Semdgomi<br />
eskalaciisa da ruseTis mier masze kontrolis dakargvis perspeqtviebi<br />
saqarTvelos interesebSi ar Sedis. movlenaTa amgvari ganviTareba,<br />
erTi mxriv, SeiZleba niSnavdes ruseTis afxazeTidan da samxreT<br />
oseTidan wasvlas, magram meore mxriv, radikaluri-islamisturi<br />
CrdiloeT kavkasiis saxiT Tbilisma SeiZleba ufro seriozuli<br />
problema miiRos. amgvari scenari saqarTvelos mxridanac moiTxovs<br />
ufro aqtiur politikas Crdilokavkasiuri xalxebis mimarT, raTa<br />
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