russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
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qveynis dRev<strong>and</strong>eli xelmZRvaneloba aris yvela problemis warmatebulad<br />
daZlevis garantia; marTlmadidebloba aris ruseTis saxelmwifoebriobis<br />
safuZveli; sazRvargareT rusebis/rusulenovani mosaxleobis dacva<br />
yvelanairi gziT unda moxdes).<br />
b) amgvar xedvasTan axlos dgas saxelmwifo moxeleebis — e.w.<br />
`gosudarstvenikebis~ warmodgenebi, Tumca aq arsebobs damatebiTi momentebic<br />
(xalxi umwifaria da ar SeiZleba misTvis didi uflebis miniWeba; ruseTis<br />
sidiadis misaRwevad yvela saSualeba gamodgeba; `sabWoTa kavSiris daSla iyo<br />
saukunis udidesi geopolitikuri katastrofa~ (vladimer putini)...) Sesabamisi<br />
sagareo politikuri xedva kargad gamoxata dimitri treninma:<br />
`me vgulisxmob sagareo politikis koncefcias, erovnuli uSiSroebis<br />
koncefciasa da sxva saxelmZRvanelo dokumentebs. Cemi azriT, iq arcTu<br />
garkveviTaa Camoyalibebuli, Tu ra miznebisken miiltvis ruseTis sagareo<br />
politika. Cems warmodgenaSi es daaxloebiT asea: Tanamedrove ruseTi cdilobs<br />
iqces Zalis erT-erT centrad mravalpolusian msoflioSi. es ki niSnavs, rom<br />
igi cdilobs Tavisi gavlena gaavrcelos, upirveles yovlisa, yofili sabWoTa<br />
kavSiris qveynebze. maTgan Seqmnas Taviseburi bloki, sadac ruseTis<br />
ineteresebs privilegirebuli mniSvneloba mieniWeba. amaze, `axlo<br />
samezobloSi~ interesebis privilegirebul xasiaTze, rogorc gaxsovT,<br />
laparakobda perzidenti medvedevi, amaze laparakoben sxva rusi oficialuri<br />
pirebic. meore momenti, mniSvnelovani ruseTis mmarTveli fenisTvis, maTTvis,<br />
vinc gansazRvravs ruseTis sagareo politikas, aris Zalis wamyvan centrebTan<br />
Tanabari statusis uzrunvelyofa. anu Cven varT centri _ esaa pirveli<br />
pozicia. meore pozicia _ rom Cven Tanabaruflebiani centri varT. anu<br />
saerTaSoriso sistemaSi Cven statusiTa da mdgomareobiT Tanatoli varT aSSis,<br />
CineTisa da evrokavSiris. ZalTa ZiriTadi centrebi plus Cven _ ai<br />
mravalpolaruli msoflio. xolo mesame pozicia ki momdinareobs meoredan da<br />
daaxloebiT ase JRers: kacobriobisaTvis mniSvnelovani sakiTxebis<br />
gadawyvetisas ruseTs aqvs ufleba gadamwyveti xma hqondes... ra Tqma unda,<br />
ruseTis sagareo politika ar iyenebs cnebas `gavlenis zona~, romelic dRes<br />
odiozuria da gvaxsenebs XIX saukunesa Tu XX saukunis dasawyiss. Tumca,<br />
seriozulad Tu vilaparakebT, swored amisken swrafva iCens Tavs~ 188 .<br />
g) superelitis warmodgenebi arc originaluria da sakmaod cinikuricaa, Tan<br />
iSviaTad xdeba maTi Riad Camoyalibeba. yovelive amis gamo maT, albaT, arc<br />
daamciros ruseTi da Tu ki esec gamouva, daanawevros igi da sakuTar nebas daumorCilos~.<br />
Дмитрий Тренин, Россия и Новая Европа. Полит.Ру, 16 марта 2011 г.<br />
www.polit.ru/lectures/2010/04/22/trenin.html. erovnuli uSiSroebis strategiaSi SemTxveviT ar aris<br />
naxsenebi, rom: `30. samxedro uSiSroebis safrTxeebia: zogierTi ucxo qveynis politika,<br />
mimarTuli samxedro sferoSi upiratesobis mopovebaze, pirvel rigSi ki _ strategiul<br />
birTvuli Zalebis ganviTarebiT, maRali sizustis, sain<strong>for</strong>macio da sxva maRalteqnologiuri<br />
saomari saSualebebis, arabirTvuli strategiuli SeiaraRebis, raketsawinaaRmdego Tavdacvis<br />
globaluri sistemis calmxrivad Camoyalibebisa da dedamiwis garSemo kosmosuri sivrcis<br />
militarizaciis gziT, ramac SesaZloa SeiaraRebis sferoSi axal Sejibramde migviyvanos...~<br />
187 `8. ZiriTadi samxedro safrTxeebia: a) natos Zalismieri potencialisaTvis globaluri<br />
funqciebis miniWebis mcdeloba, risi realizacia moxdeba saerTaSoriso samarTlis darRvevis<br />
gziT, aseve _ natos wevri qveynebis samxedro infarstruqturis ruseTis federaciis<br />
sazRvarTan miaxloebis mcdeloba, maT Soris, blokis gafarToebis gziTac;...~ ruseTis<br />
federaciis samxedro doqtrina, 2010 wlis 5 Tebervali, damtkicebuli ruseTis federaciis<br />
prezidentis mier. http://news.kremlin.ru/ref_notes/461<br />
188 Дмитрий Тренин. Модернизация внешней политики России. Полит.Ру, 4 марта 2010.<br />
http://www.polit.ru/lectures/2010/03/25/trenin_print.html<br />
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