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klimaturi ryevebis mimarT, magram es Tan e.w. pikuri simZlavreebis eqsportis<br />

saSualebas iZleva, ris Sedegadac eqsport-importis jamuri balansic<br />

dadebiTia.<br />

2008 wlis ekonomikurma krizisma gaaRrmava msoflio ekonomikis struqturuli<br />

aramdgradoba, da sakmaod Sors mimavali sistemuri cvliebebi dagvitova.<br />

CineTma yvelaze metad moigo krizisiT, SeinarCuna ra zrdis maRali tempi — 2011<br />

wlis dasawyisisaTvis misi ekonomika ukve msoflioSi zomiT meore. amasTan,<br />

CineTi iqca Sua aziis mTavar ekonomikur partniorad da investorad da<br />

mniSvnelovanwilad gauswro ruseTs. marTalia, CineTs win bevri siZnele<br />

elodeba 158 , magram eWvs ar iwvevs, rom uaxloesi aTwleulis manZilze is<br />

msoflio ekonomikaze did gavlenas SeiZens maSin, roca ruseTis roli msoflio<br />

ekonomikaSi sul ufro Semcirdeba. bolo wlebSi geopolitikuri konteqsti<br />

ruseTis sasargeblod rodi Seicavala, radgan misi mdgomareoba damZimebulia<br />

sxvadasxva problemiTa da sisustiT 159 . krizismac ki ver ubiZga ruseTs<br />

radikaluri re<strong>for</strong>mebisken, romlebic mimarTuli iqneboda qveynis<br />

modernizaciisaken. igi aRmoCnda garSemortymuli SedarebiT ufro dinamikuri<br />

qveynebiTa da regionebiT, xolo misi roli regionsa Tu msoflioSi nel-nela<br />

mcirdeba. marTalia, postsabWoTa sivrceSi ruseTs ZlierebiT verc erTi misi<br />

mezobeli ver Seedreba, magram ruseTis gavlenis Semcireba kargad gamoCnda am<br />

qveynebis erTsulovan uarSi, eRiarebinaT afxazeTisa da samxreT oseTis<br />

damoukidebloba. ruseTma sakmaod mtkivneulad gadaitana ekonomikuri<br />

krizisi 160 , Tumca maleve SeZlo am krizisidan gamosvlac. ruseTis umTavres<br />

problemad rCeba maRali inflacia. ufro grZelvadian perspeqtivaSi ki<br />

ruseTis ekonomikisaTvis did safrTxes warmoadgens misi ukiduresi<br />

damokidebuleba navTobis msoflio fasebze da, Sesabamisad, e.w. `hol<strong>and</strong>iuri<br />

senis~ riski, rac zRudavs ekonomikis diversifikacias da mas<br />

araprognozirebad xasiaTs aniWebs. Tuki mxedvelobaSi miviRebT ruseTis<br />

instituciur sisusteebs, `resursulma dawyevlilobam~ SesaZloa sagrZnoblad<br />

Seaferxos qveynis stabiluri ekonomikuri ganviTareba 161 . Ekonomikuri zrdis<br />

meore mniSvnelovani Semaferxebeli faqtoria qveyanaSi samuSao resursebisa 162<br />

158 ase, magaliTad, 2011 wlis TebervalSi dafiqsirda savaWro balansis deficiti (7.3 miliardi<br />

aSS dolaris moculobiT, wina wlis Tebervlis maCvenebelTan SedarebiT) da rogorc importis,<br />

aseve eqsportis susti zrda. analitikosebis azriT, es SeiZleba Rrma problemebze<br />

miuTiTebdes, rasac didwilad SesaZloa gare moTxovnis vardniT gamowveuli Sida moTxovnebis<br />

arasakmarisi zrda ganapirobebdes. «China posts a surprise trade deficit as exports slow». BBC News, 10<br />

March 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12688877<br />

159 `amrigad, araefeqtiani ekonomika, naxevrad sabWoTa socialuri sfero, jerac susti<br />

demokratia, negatiuri demografiuli tendenciebi, arastabiluri kavkasia. es Zalian didi<br />

problemebia iseTi saxelmwifosTvisac ki, rogoricaa ruseTi,~ _ d. medvedevi. ix.: Д. Медведев.<br />

Россия, вперед! 10 сентября 2009. http://kremlin.ru/news/5413<br />

160 `msoflio ekonomikurma krizisma aCvena, rom Cven saqme arc ise kargad gvaqvs. gamalebuli<br />

gardaqmnebis ocma welmac ki ver uSvela Cvens qveyanas, rom Tavi daeRwia nedleulze am<br />

damamcirebeli damokidebulebisgan. Cvenma dRev<strong>and</strong>elma ekonomikam sabWoTa ekonomikisagan<br />

yvelaze mankieri Tviseba gadmoiRo _ igi didwilad uyuradRebod tovebs adamianebis<br />

moTxovnilebebs. samamulo biznesi, mcire gamonaklisis garda, ar awarmoebs, ar qmnis<br />

xalxisaTvis saWiro nivTebsa da teqnologiebs. vaWrobs imiT, rac mas ar gaukeTebia _<br />

nedleuliT an importirebuli saqonliT. ruseTSi warmoebuli mza produqciis ZiriTadi wili<br />

ki jerjerobiT ar gamoirCeva maRali konkurentunarianobiT. Д. Медведев. Россия, вперед! 10<br />

сентября 2009. http://kremlin.ru/news/5413<br />

161 ix.: Rol<strong>and</strong> Beck, Annette Kamps <strong>and</strong> Elitza Mileva. Long-term growth prospects <strong>for</strong> the Russian economy.<br />

European Central Bank, Frankfurt. March 2007. http://ssrn.com/abstract_id=967603<br />

162 `umniSvnelovanes gamowvevebs Soris, romlebic gansazRvraven Cvens samomavlo models, aris<br />

demografia. ruseTSi demografiuli problema ufro mwvaved dadgeba, vidre sxva qveynebSi.<br />

ekonomikuri ganviTarebis saministros monacemebiT, ekonomikaSi dasaqmebuli adamianebis<br />

100

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