russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
russia_and_georgia_s.. - Georgian Foundation for Strategic and ...
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politikur-samarTlebrivi Sedegebis dadgomas ar iTvaliswinebda, moyvanil<br />
debulebebTan mTavari saerTaSoriso aqtorebis ganWvretad momavalSi<br />
daSoreba naklebadaa mosalodneli. im SemTxvevaSic ki, Tu droTa ganmavlobaSi<br />
„oTxTa klubi“ trans<strong>for</strong>mirdeba, vTqvaT, „rvaTa klubad“, saqmis arsi amiT ar<br />
Seicvleba. xolo Tavad ruseTis federacia, rogorc Cans, samxreT oseTis [da<br />
afxazeTis] Semdgomi aRiarebis uzrunvelsayofad zedmetad daZabvas sulac ar<br />
apirebs. 2011 wlis martSi, ruseTis federaciis dumaSi gamosvlisas, ruseTis<br />
sagareo saqmeTa ministris pirvelma moadgilem <strong>and</strong>rei denisovma ganacxada:<br />
Cven ar velodebiT samxreT oseTisa da afxazeTis farTo aRiarebas; aseTia<br />
realoba 208 .<br />
axla vcadoT qarTul—rusuli urTierTobebis konteqstSi ori oseTis irgvliv<br />
arsebuli situaciis ganviTarebis SesaZlo veqtorebis dadgena. savaraudoa,<br />
rom maTi momavali bedi (yovel SemTxvevaSi, Teoriulad mainc) qvemoT<br />
moyvanili erT-erTi scenaris CarCoebSi ganisazRvreba:<br />
1. dRev<strong>and</strong>eli mdgomareobis SenarCuneba, roca gvaqvs „nawilobriv<br />
aRiarebuli saxelmwifo — samxreT oseTis respublika“ da ruseTis<br />
federaciis subieqti CrdiloeT oseTis respublika — alania.<br />
2. „aRiareba teritoriebis sanacvlod“ — saqarTvelos mxridan samxreT<br />
oseTis aRiareba axalgoris raionis qarTuli iurisdiqciis qveS<br />
dabrunebis sanacvlod (SesaZlebelia _ sxva teritoriebisac).<br />
3. samxreT oseTis saerTaSoriso aRiarebis procesis reanimacia da<br />
damoukidebeli saxelmwifos statusis ganmtkiceba.<br />
4. belorusis mier samxreT oseTis aRiareba da samxreT oseTis Sesvla<br />
mokavSire saxelmwifoSi 209 (aq CrdiloeT oseTTan dakavSirebiT<br />
SesaZlebelia variantebi).<br />
5. samxreT oseTis respublikis ruseTis federaciasTan mierTeba sxvadasxva<br />
<strong>for</strong>matSi:<br />
— asocirebuli samxreT oseTi da federaciis subieqti CrdiloeT<br />
oseTi;<br />
— federaciis subieqti samxreT oseTi da federaciis subieqti<br />
CrdiloeT oseTi (simetriuli an asimetriuli uflebamosilebebiT);<br />
— samxreT oseTisa da CrdiloeT oseTis gaerTianeba erTian oseTad —<br />
ruseTis federaciis subieqtad;<br />
— ruseTis federaciis SemadgenlobaSi gaerTianebuli oseTis sxva<br />
statusi.<br />
6. samxreT oseTis saqarTvelos SemadgenlobaSi dabruneba sxvadsxva<br />
<strong>for</strong>matSi:<br />
– konfederaciis subieqti;<br />
– orsubieqtiani federaciis subieqti;<br />
– mravalsubieqtiani federaciis subieqti;<br />
– avtonomia;<br />
– saqarTvelos SemadgenlobaSi samxreT oseTis sxva statusi.<br />
7. samxreT oseTis CrdiloeT oseTTan SeerTeba damoukideblobis<br />
sinqronuli (an momdevno) gamocxadebiTa da ruseTis federaciidan<br />
gamoyofiT (gaerTianebuli damoukidebeli saxelmwifo oseTis<br />
warmoqmna).<br />
8. samxreT oseTis teritoriaze qarTul-rusuli kondominiumi 210 .<br />
208 http://www.regnum.ru/news/fd-abroad/abxazia/1386918.html<br />
209 aseT SesaZleblobas uSvebs, magaliTad, А. Малашенко; ix.:<br />
http://carnegieendowment.org/files/TwoCrisesConsequences<strong>and</strong>Outlook.pdf<br />
210 es idea wamoayena s. aruTiunovma; ix. mag: http://noev-kovcheg.1gb.ru/article.asp?n=96&a=38<br />
134