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EPA's Vessel General Permit and Small Vessel General

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And:<br />

“As a general rule, the use of alternative endpoints is discouraged unless a compelling<br />

argument can be made that inclusion would reduce the overall level of uncertainty in the<br />

analysis towards achieving the assessment goal.”<br />

“EPA relies on the 1985 Guidelines data requirements <strong>and</strong> data selection process as the<br />

process by which information is fully-vetted for its utility <strong>and</strong> applicability in the BE<br />

analysis. “<br />

Services Assessment of Uncertainty in the Repose Analysis<br />

EPAs decisions to select the most sensitive surrogate species, assess risk of metals <strong>and</strong> PAH<br />

mixtures, <strong>and</strong> perform risk threshold analyses using water quality criteria adjusted by a factor of<br />

two to account for potential increased sensitivity of threatened <strong>and</strong> endangered species are, at<br />

this time, appropriate adjustments for the uncertainties introduced by interspecies extrapolation.<br />

However, EPA did not acknowledge that an adjustment of water quality criteria by a factor of<br />

two may also be necessary to account for the greater significance of effects on individuals to the<br />

survival of a population when protecting threatened <strong>and</strong> endangered species.<br />

When selecting its response thresholds, EPA stated that it relies on the 1985 Guidelines data<br />

requirements <strong>and</strong> data selection process. However, these guidelines also state:<br />

"For any threshold material, continuous exposure to any combination of concentrations<br />

below the threshold will not cause an unacceptable effect … However, it is important to<br />

note that this is a threshold of unacceptable effect, not a threshold of adverse effect.<br />

Some adverse effect, possibly even a small reduction in the survival, growth, or<br />

reproduction of a commercially or recreationally important species, will probably occur<br />

at, <strong>and</strong> possibly even below, the threshold. The Criterion Continuous<br />

Concentration (CCC) is intended to be a good estimate of this threshold of unacceptable<br />

effect."<br />

What constitutes an unacceptable effect for threatened <strong>and</strong> endangered species was not addressed<br />

in EPA’s guidelines. For some sublethal effects, such as olfaction, effects may occur at<br />

concentrations below which traditional endpoints (survival growth <strong>and</strong> reproduction) are affected<br />

(reference Copper section of the BO). If such responses are not considered when selecting<br />

chronic toxicity values, the resulting effects analyses may underestimate risk to susceptible<br />

species.<br />

The services also have further comment on the ecological relevance of NOECs/LOECs <strong>and</strong><br />

MATCs. Due to the hypothesis driven selection of response thresholds, the underlying “level of<br />

effect” associated with NOECs, LOECs, <strong>and</strong> MATCs may be high. For example, Suter et al.<br />

(1987) reported that MATCs for fish fecundity, on average, corresponded to a 42% level of<br />

adverse effect. These shortcomings can be addressed by using a regression approach to derive<br />

point estimates of chronic toxicity, such as the EC10.<br />

317

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