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A. Status of the Spectacled Eider - U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

A. Status of the Spectacled Eider - U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

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Bl.4. 1.3. Develop visibility correction factor methods for <strong>the</strong> AR aerial survey<br />

Since aircraft used in Russian aerial surveys typically differ from those used in<br />

Alaska, eider visibility is likely to differ as well. Hence, visibility correction<br />

factors are needed specific to this region <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> aircraft or observation platform<br />

used.<br />

Bl.4. 1.4. Develop nest detection correction factor methods for <strong>the</strong> YKD ground<br />

~ With an unbiased correction-factor for nest detection rates <strong>the</strong><br />

ground plot data may provide <strong>the</strong> best annual estimate <strong>of</strong>absolute breeding pair<br />

abundance. Present survey design assumes that some nests are missed during <strong>the</strong>se<br />

mid’incubation surveys, but <strong>the</strong> proportion missed is relatively constant between<br />

years. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, it is assumed that <strong>Spectacled</strong> <strong>Eider</strong>s nest synchronously <strong>and</strong> never<br />

or rarely re-nest if nests are destroyed after incubation is initiated. Yet <strong>the</strong>se<br />

assumptions may not be valid <strong>and</strong> need to be tested. Detection rates may vary due<br />

to differences in habitat, observer training or survey timing; hence, detection or<br />

visibility correction factors are needed to provide more accurate abundance <strong>and</strong><br />

trend estimates.<br />

Bl .4.2. Monitor trends in <strong>the</strong> three populations. Ei<strong>the</strong>r existing or newly developed<br />

surveys should be implemented as soon as acceptable methods incorporating visibility<br />

correction factor methods are developed (task Bi .4.1). To meet <strong>the</strong> recovery criteria,<br />

both absolute abundance <strong>and</strong> population trend data must be monitored in each<br />

population.<br />

B1.4.2.1. Analyze existing YKD aerial <strong>and</strong> ground survey data to refine survey<br />

m~ibQds.~. Both aerial <strong>and</strong> ground survey population estimates may be improved by<br />

re-stratifying <strong>the</strong> sample design or re-allocating ground survey effort. Data sets are<br />

presently being analyzed to determine whe<strong>the</strong>r precision can be improved with<br />

changes in <strong>the</strong> survey design. If re-allocation <strong>of</strong> effort is warranted, survey<br />

methods should be revised accordingly. Additional analyses should: 1) evaluate <strong>the</strong><br />

effects <strong>of</strong>breeding phenology on results obtained from eider breeding pairs surveys<br />

as <strong>the</strong>y are currently conducted on <strong>the</strong> Yukon Delta, <strong>and</strong> 2) examine bias associated<br />

with extrapolating eider estimates outside <strong>of</strong> sampled areas as is currently done for~<br />

<strong>the</strong> Yukon Delta surveys. Potentially, a separate survey for <strong>Spectacled</strong> <strong>Eider</strong>s may<br />

be i~eeded since <strong>the</strong> existing surveys were designed primarily for geese <strong>and</strong><br />

optimization for <strong>Spectacled</strong> <strong>Eider</strong>s may be incompatible with objectives for o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

species. This effort is ongoing.<br />

Bl .4.2.2. Continue <strong>the</strong> YKD coastal breeding pair survey or implement alternative<br />

<strong>Spectacled</strong> <strong>Eider</strong> survey as determined in Bl .4.2.1. The current aerial survey<br />

method incorporates fixed-wing, systematic strip plots over extensive geographic<br />

areas. Single birds, breeding pairs, <strong>and</strong> flocks are enumerated separately to<br />

generate estimates <strong>of</strong> total breeding birds. If task BL.4.1.1 results in<br />

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