[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
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Bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
<strong>The</strong> jargon of <strong>2010</strong><br />
Nov 13th 2009<br />
Way beyond English<br />
Hard times beget harsh language. Reckless loans led to the credit crunch, then to<br />
meltdown. When the jargon of the 2008-09 recession wasn’t harsh, it was often<br />
mystify<strong>in</strong>g: credit default swaps, collateralised debt obligations and quantitative<br />
eas<strong>in</strong>g. What vocabulary will executives need to familiarise themselves with next?<br />
<strong>The</strong> recovery will spawn its own jargon <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong>. Policymakers will spend the year<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g exit strategies—ways to withdraw from the markets and companies they<br />
rushed to rescue. Hopes of a susta<strong>in</strong>able recovery will depend on deleverag<strong>in</strong>g by<br />
both consumers and firms, an effort to pay off the debt that piled up dur<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
boom. <strong>The</strong> post-recession economy may have a different dynamic from the precrisis<br />
one; there is talk of an economic reset to a new normal.<br />
Corporate boards will be preoccupied with risk management or, as it will be<br />
fashionable to say, early warn<strong>in</strong>g. Early-warn<strong>in</strong>g antennae should twitch when they<br />
detect the word smart, signify<strong>in</strong>g a return to old ways but with lessons learnt:<br />
bankers are already talk<strong>in</strong>g about smart securitisation. Virtuous f<strong>in</strong>anciers will extol<br />
the importance of mak<strong>in</strong>g a difference through impact <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g. And, naturally,<br />
executives everywhere will have to keep up with the latest carbon jargon.<br />
Tech-savvy types will dazzle as usual. In particular, virtual reality will <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> make way for augmented<br />
reality: overlay<strong>in</strong>g the real world with digital <strong>in</strong>formation, typically with the help of a smart-phone.<br />
<strong>The</strong> most-used piece of jargon <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess will not be a word or phrase but a letter: W. No, not George W.<br />
Bush, but a w-shaped economy, <strong>in</strong> which the recovery peters out <strong>in</strong> the second half of the year as stimulusspend<strong>in</strong>g<br />
fades, then resumes <strong>in</strong> 2011.<br />
Really clever CEOs, however, will want to show a subtle understand<strong>in</strong>g of the fastest-grow<strong>in</strong>g emerg<strong>in</strong>g<br />
markets. <strong>The</strong>y will like to lace their presentations with references to Ch<strong>in</strong>ese culture. In a year of conflict<strong>in</strong>g<br />
signals for bus<strong>in</strong>ess, the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese word for “contradiction”, maodun—which, bosses will sagely po<strong>in</strong>t out,<br />
conta<strong>in</strong>s both a spear and a shield—may come <strong>in</strong> handy.<br />
Leo Abruzzese: editorial director, North America, Economist Intelligence Unit<br />
Copyright © 2009 <strong>The</strong> Economist Newspaper and <strong>The</strong> Economist Group. All rights reserved.<br />
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