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[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010

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South Korea has made green technology a cornerstone of national policy. <strong>The</strong> budget, about $60 billion to be<br />

spent by 2012, is smaller than Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s but represents a whopp<strong>in</strong>g four-fifths of South Korea’s total stimulus<br />

package. In <strong>2010</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives, subsidies, credit guarantees and spend<strong>in</strong>g programmes will beg<strong>in</strong> to be<br />

showered on everyth<strong>in</strong>g from hybrid cars to fitt<strong>in</strong>g build<strong>in</strong>gs with energy-efficient LED light<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

<strong>The</strong> country plans to spend around 2% of its GDP on green tech through to 2013, to reduce emissions and<br />

spur a new export <strong>in</strong>dustry. Sandwiched between Ch<strong>in</strong>a (with lower costs) and Japan (with superior<br />

technology), Korean manufacturers have much catch<strong>in</strong>g up to do <strong>in</strong> green-tech products. Bureaucrats hope to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease South Korea’s global market share <strong>in</strong> these technologies from 2% to 8% by 2013.<br />

Japan has long been a green-tech pioneer. It has set aside $35 billion of its stimulus, about 6%, for green<br />

tech, <strong>in</strong> areas such as subsidies for residential solar projects. Its green stimulus is smaller than its neighbours’<br />

as it already pours <strong>in</strong> funds from the regular budget: $22 billion for the environment and conservation <strong>in</strong><br />

2009, of which $7 billion was for clean energy <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g nuclear power. <strong>The</strong> new government has set ambitious<br />

targets for reduc<strong>in</strong>g carbon emissions. It also promises new spend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> for low-emission cars and<br />

energy-efficient appliances.<br />

Other Asian countries have green ambitions. S<strong>in</strong>gapore has a war chest of $450m and <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> it will build a<br />

55-hectare (135-acre) clean-tech office park and fund a solar-power research <strong>in</strong>stitute. Taiwan plans to spend<br />

$1 billion over five years develop<strong>in</strong>g solar, LED-light<strong>in</strong>g and renewable-energy technologies.<br />

Any colour you want so long as it’s...<br />

What exactly counts as green technology? <strong>The</strong> figures <strong>in</strong>clude water and waste projects that are green, but<br />

not energy-related. Almost $100 billion of Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s stimulus is for energy-efficient rail transport—which may<br />

reduce emissions, but is ultimately just a tra<strong>in</strong> system.<br />

Still, the focus on green tech is a natural evolution for Asia’s IT <strong>in</strong>dustries. LCD screens and semiconductor<br />

chips share the same materials and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g processes as solar photo-voltaic cells; many factories have<br />

simply been converted from one to the other. <strong>The</strong> battery technology for electric cars applies the <strong>in</strong>tellectual<br />

property that was developed for electronic gadgets.<br />

Whether the bureaucrats can channel the public largesse efficiently is an open question. S<strong>in</strong>ce the immediate<br />

purpose is to pump-prime the economy, the emphasis will be on dispens<strong>in</strong>g the money rather than on the<br />

return on <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />

Kenneth Cukier: Tokyo correspondent, <strong>The</strong> Economist<br />

Copyright © 2009 <strong>The</strong> Economist Newspaper and <strong>The</strong> Economist Group. All rights reserved.<br />

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