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[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010

[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010

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United States<br />

Count<strong>in</strong>g heads<br />

Nov 13th 2009<br />

America’s census will make for political mischief<br />

Every ten years s<strong>in</strong>ce 1790, the United States has held a census. In that respect <strong>2010</strong> will be no different<br />

from any other year end<strong>in</strong>g with a zero. Indeed it would be a breach of the constitution to let it pass without a<br />

count of everyone liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the country, whether legally resident or not. This census will be relatively modest<br />

<strong>in</strong> ambit. Instead of ask<strong>in</strong>g more than 50 questions, as before, the <strong>2010</strong> form will pose only ten, and will, it is<br />

hoped, take no more than ten m<strong>in</strong>utes to complete. For the first time, too, some questionnaires—13m out of<br />

the total of over 120m—will be distributed <strong>in</strong> both English and Spanish. Ch<strong>in</strong>ese, Korean, Russian and<br />

Vietnamese versions will be available on request.<br />

<strong>The</strong> longer form used to be sent to only a selection of households, from which general conclusions were<br />

<strong>in</strong>ferred. <strong>The</strong> details about <strong>in</strong>come, hous<strong>in</strong>g, education, commut<strong>in</strong>g and employment that it elicited are now<br />

gathered by an annual survey of a small proportion of the population. Hence the new, shorter form, which will<br />

merely count people and provide basic <strong>in</strong>formation about their names, ages, sex, ethnicity and so on.<br />

Bor<strong>in</strong>g? In countries like Sweden censuses are dull affairs that excite only statisticians and trend-spotters, not<br />

trend-setters. In countries like Nigeria they precipitate coups or tribal warfare. Reactions <strong>in</strong> America fall<br />

between these extremes, but the norm is controversy.<br />

<strong>The</strong> first disagreements were among the Found<strong>in</strong>g Fathers, who could not agree on what constituted a person.<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>in</strong>famous compromise that found its way <strong>in</strong>to the constitution counted slaves as just three-fifths of a<br />

“free” person. That may today seem like a concession to the wicked slave-owners. In fact, the slave-hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />

states wanted their captives to count as full persons, whereas the sa<strong>in</strong>tly states that held no slaves wanted<br />

them to count for noth<strong>in</strong>g, like native Americans. <strong>The</strong> reason was that the census was to be used as the basis<br />

for representation <strong>in</strong> Congress and also <strong>in</strong> the Electoral College, which chooses the president, so all states<br />

wanted to maximise their populations, or dim<strong>in</strong>ish others’.<br />

<strong>The</strong> census was also used <strong>in</strong> the early days for calculat<strong>in</strong>g direct taxation, as it had been <strong>in</strong> the days of Caesar<br />

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