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[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010

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(plastic trumpets). So Africa’s moment may be uncomfortably white.<br />

Controversy over the crowds will not extend to the pitch. <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> Cup will be set<br />

alight by African footballers. Indeed, <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> Africa will rival Lat<strong>in</strong> America as a<br />

football power. For the first time, there will be six African teams represented. No<br />

host nation has failed to reach the second round and South Africa’s national team,<br />

Bafana Bafana, which won the African Nations Cup <strong>in</strong> 1996, will stumble through on<br />

Copyright © 2009 <strong>The</strong> Economist Newspaper and <strong>The</strong> Economist Group. All rights reserved.<br />

South Africa will<br />

prove sceptics<br />

wrong<br />

home support. Ghana and Côte d’Ivoire will do better, and could even surprise the world by mak<strong>in</strong>g a push for<br />

the f<strong>in</strong>al.<br />

<strong>The</strong> pull of Europe<br />

This reflects the steady progression of the African footballer, says Steve Bloomfield, author of “Africa United”,<br />

a portrait of the game on the cont<strong>in</strong>ent. It was a shock when Cameroon beat Argent<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong> the 1990 <strong>World</strong><br />

Cup. Only a handful of Africans then played <strong>in</strong> Europe, labour<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the lower divisions and suffer<strong>in</strong>g racist<br />

taunts. An African w<strong>in</strong> over even Italy <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> would not be a shock. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Mr Bloomfield, there are 80<br />

Senegalese footballers play<strong>in</strong>g professionally <strong>in</strong> France. Côte d’Ivoire boasts Didier Drogba of Chelsea,<br />

Emmanuel Eboué of Arsenal, Kolo Touré of Manchester City and his younger brother Yaya Touré of Barcelona.<br />

Ghana’s Michael Essien rema<strong>in</strong>s the most expensive African footballer. His move to Chelsea <strong>in</strong> 2005 is worth<br />

$51m <strong>in</strong> today’s money. With half of all Africans under 18 years old, <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong> more African raw material—boys<br />

with prodigal football<strong>in</strong>g gifts—will be signed by top clubs. <strong>The</strong> only restriction on the English clubs will be a<br />

British visa regime which requires Africans to play regularly for a national team before they can be considered.<br />

Football will be Africa’s success story <strong>in</strong> <strong>2010</strong>, but it will rema<strong>in</strong> shock<strong>in</strong>gly adm<strong>in</strong>istered at home. <strong>The</strong> pitches<br />

of Africa’s national stadiums will rema<strong>in</strong> dusty, pocked and almost unplayable. Domestic leagues will be<br />

eclipsed by the English Premier League, still by far the biggest enterta<strong>in</strong>ment <strong>in</strong> Africa. Local adm<strong>in</strong>istrators<br />

will still use football to build a political power base. But imag<strong>in</strong>e their venality restra<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>World</strong> Cup<br />

pressures: if a football federation can be made to clean up its act, perhaps a government can be too.<br />

Jonathan Ledgard: eastern Africa correspondent, <strong>The</strong> Economist<br />

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