[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
[ccebook.cn]The World in 2010
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Middle East and Africa<br />
<strong>The</strong> world's eyes on Africa<br />
Nov 13th 2009<br />
Africa must grab its potential for exponential growth, argues Jacob Zuma, president of South Africa<br />
On Friday June 11th <strong>2010</strong>, the first-ever FIFA <strong>World</strong> Cup held on African soil will get<br />
under way <strong>in</strong> Johannesburg. Watched by soccer fans across the world, it will be a<br />
bold statement of the cont<strong>in</strong>ent’s determ<strong>in</strong>ation to revive its fortunes after decades<br />
of marg<strong>in</strong>alisation.<br />
From the flagship stadium <strong>in</strong> Johannesburg to the new bus rapid-transit systems <strong>in</strong><br />
major host cities, the <strong>2010</strong> <strong>World</strong> Cup will showcase the biggest <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment programme <strong>in</strong> South Africa’s history. At a time of world economic crisis,<br />
this programme has helped place the country <strong>in</strong> a position to take advantage of the<br />
global recovery.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure programme goes far beyond football. S<strong>in</strong>ce the turn of the<br />
century, South Africa has embarked on a massive <strong>in</strong>vestment programme <strong>in</strong> road<br />
and rail networks, public-transport systems, power generation and<br />
telecommunications. New schools and cl<strong>in</strong>ics are be<strong>in</strong>g built. <strong>The</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure of<br />
our grow<strong>in</strong>g cities is be<strong>in</strong>g enhanced.<br />
Comb<strong>in</strong>ed with private-sector <strong>in</strong>vestments, this has seen gross fixed capital formation as a percentage of GDP<br />
rise from 15% <strong>in</strong> 2001 to 23% by the middle of 2009. In the three-year period to 2012 our public-sector<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment programme will amount to over $100 billion.<br />
All this <strong>in</strong>vestment will have benefits well beyond the immediate challenge of susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g economic activity <strong>in</strong> a<br />
downturn. It will reduce the cost of do<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess, accommodate far greater rates of growth and respond to<br />
the country’s social needs.<br />
Unlike other countries that have had to implement stimulus packages, South Africa’s public <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
programme predates the economic crisis. Money is not be<strong>in</strong>g spent on bail<strong>in</strong>g out banks or badly run private<br />
enterprises, but on build<strong>in</strong>g roads and schools.<br />
This has been made possible by the sound management of public f<strong>in</strong>ances. Moreover,<br />
our banks operate with<strong>in</strong> an effective regulatory framework, which has mitigated the<br />
impact of the f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis.<br />
That is not to say that South Africa has been spared the impact of the global crisis.<br />
In 2009, for the first time <strong>in</strong> the 15 years of democracy, South Africa entered a<br />
recession. With revenue decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, the budget has come under pressure, and the<br />
country is hav<strong>in</strong>g to borrow more. But we are do<strong>in</strong>g so <strong>in</strong> a responsible manner, such<br />
that credit-rat<strong>in</strong>g agencies have reta<strong>in</strong>ed their outlook for the country and our<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational bond issues have generally been over-subscribed.<br />
Rich countries<br />
need to honour<br />
their<br />
commitments to<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease<br />
development<br />
assistance to<br />
Africa<br />
Nonetheless, there are systemic challenges. Unemployment rema<strong>in</strong>s stubbornly high, <strong>in</strong> part because of our<br />
narrow skills base.<br />
It is for this reason that my adm<strong>in</strong>istration is stress<strong>in</strong>g education <strong>in</strong> plans for the next five years. We are<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g hard to get the fundamentals of school<strong>in</strong>g right, improv<strong>in</strong>g access and quality for the poor, and<br />
measur<strong>in</strong>g results aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>in</strong>ternational benchmarks.<br />
<strong>The</strong> other critical challenge is health. While 95% of South Africans now live with<strong>in</strong> 5km of a health facility, life<br />
expectancy has decl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the past decade, partly a consequence of the devastat<strong>in</strong>g effects of HIV/AIDS. We<br />
are improv<strong>in</strong>g public health care as a stepp<strong>in</strong>g stone towards an affordable and efficient health system that<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegrates the capacities of the public and private sectors.<br />
<strong>The</strong>se challenges are typical of many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. It rema<strong>in</strong>s to be seen whether the economic crisis<br />
will undo the benefits of the commodity boom and new <strong>in</strong>vestment programmes for many African economies.<br />
It has certa<strong>in</strong>ly reduced the availability of credit and slowed <strong>in</strong>vestment and trade. Africa cannot be allowed to<br />
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