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The Development of Neural Network Based System Identification ...

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4.3 SYSTEM IDENTIFICATION WITH NEURAL NETWORK 95<br />

are related through a linear differential equation. Considering single input and single<br />

output (SISO) case, the input-output relationship <strong>of</strong> a linear dynamic system described<br />

in this research is given as follows:<br />

y(t) + a 1 y(t − 1) + · · · + a ny y(t − n y ) = b 1 u(t) + b 2 u(t − 2)<br />

+ · · · + b nu u(t − n u ) + v(t) (4.17)<br />

where n y and n u are the sizes <strong>of</strong> past output and input observations and v(t) is the<br />

system disturbance. <strong>The</strong>n the general polynomial equation (4.17) can be rewritten in<br />

terms <strong>of</strong> the time shift operator q −1 as:<br />

A(q −1 )y(t) = B(q −1 )u(t) + v(t) (4.18)<br />

where A(q −1 ) and B(q −1 ) are polynomials in the time shift operator:<br />

A(q −1 ) = 1 + a 1 q −1 + · · · + a ny q −ny<br />

B(q −1 ) = 1 + b 1 q −1 + · · · + b nu q −nu (4.19)<br />

<strong>The</strong> model in (4.17) or (4.18) describes the dynamic relationship between the input and<br />

the output signals. Similar to definition in Section 4.2.1, the input-output relationship<br />

(coefficient <strong>of</strong> ARX model) and the lagged input output data is express in terms <strong>of</strong><br />

parameter vector θ and time regression vector ϕ(t) as:<br />

θ = [ a 1 a 2 · · · a ny b 1 b 2 · · · b nu<br />

] T<br />

(4.20)<br />

ϕ(t) = [y(t − 1) · · · y(t − n y ) u(t − 1) · · · u(t − n u )] T (4.21)<br />

<strong>The</strong> equation (4.17) then can be rewritten for k-step ahead prediction as:<br />

ŷ (t + k |t, θ ) = ϕ T (t + k)θ + v(t) (4.22)<br />

This model describe the observed output variable y(t) as an unknown linear combination<br />

<strong>of</strong> the component <strong>of</strong> the observed time regression vector ϕ with system disturbance

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