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Assessment of Capacity Gaps and Needs of South East Asia Countries<br />

in Addressing Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> Variability and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

ECHAM4 model and CCCMA’s First Generati<strong>on</strong><br />

Couple GCM. In the socio ec<strong>on</strong>omic sector, SEA<br />

START report makes an evaluati<strong>on</strong> of the impacts<br />

caused by climate change based <strong>on</strong> field interviews<br />

and group meetings; Dutta’s study, uses the surface<br />

and river comp<strong>on</strong>ents of the IISDHM model for flood<br />

inundati<strong>on</strong> simulati<strong>on</strong> and the AGENT-LUC Model<br />

(Anthropogenically Engineered Transformati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

of Land Use and Land Cover) for assessing the land<br />

use and land cover changes as result of the human<br />

activities.<br />

Related to this, should be included the development<br />

of technologies for adaptati<strong>on</strong>; the use and<br />

integrati<strong>on</strong> of traditi<strong>on</strong>al knowledge for developing<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s; integrati<strong>on</strong> of local knowledge<br />

and scientific knowledge for technology transfer;<br />

and communicati<strong>on</strong> of vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong><br />

both to vulnerable communities and policy makers<br />

are also essential.<br />

Last, there is a need to build awareness about<br />

the potential impacts of climate change am<strong>on</strong>gst<br />

potentially affected people, and make stakeholders<br />

understand that they have to get involve in order to<br />

implement successfully measures <strong>on</strong> climate change<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong>. There is also a need to develop and<br />

disseminate good quality informati<strong>on</strong>. Systematic<br />

efforts are required to study the impact evaluati<strong>on</strong><br />

of different climatic parameters (MRC, 2009).<br />

The following is the compilati<strong>on</strong> of the gaps found<br />

in the literature reviewed for water resources,<br />

agriculture and food security, socio ec<strong>on</strong>omics and<br />

risk management.<br />

Water Sector<br />

In water sector there is an urgent need to study<br />

changes in the rainfall pattern in all the watershed<br />

areas by using more than three climate change<br />

scenarios, and to incorporate the results in the<br />

government management plans. Besides, there are<br />

few studies in Thailand using mathematical models<br />

to assess physical property of water resource (water<br />

flow c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, element dispersi<strong>on</strong>, sediment<br />

transfer and accumulati<strong>on</strong>), for instance, to plan for<br />

water resource management; studies <strong>on</strong> biological<br />

diversity and the impacts of climate change <strong>on</strong><br />

water resources and fresh water ecosystems<br />

using mathematical models need to be included<br />

(Bo<strong>on</strong>prakrob and Hattirat, 2006).<br />

Agriculture and Food Security Sector<br />

There is a lack of studies about the most suitable<br />

species and varieties to face the changes in<br />

temperature and rainfall. The fact that different<br />

species have a unique capacity to endure heat means<br />

that it is essential to study individual species to find<br />

those that can best accommodate themselves to a<br />

changing climate (Bo<strong>on</strong>prakrob and Hattirat, 2006),<br />

and therefore, to be sure that rural households can<br />

adapt to the changes that are already happening.<br />

A c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> plan is needed in order to c<strong>on</strong>serve<br />

genes of wild species, as they possess characteristics<br />

that can overcome stress and enemies. On-going<br />

studies in Thailand <strong>on</strong> the impact of climate change<br />

<strong>on</strong> the Mek<strong>on</strong>g river basin utilize <strong>on</strong>e regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

climate model incorporated with CERES crop<br />

model to predict the yields of a single variety of<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omically important crops such as rice, corn,<br />

sugar cane and cassava. Other climate change<br />

scenarios are necessary for such studies in order to<br />

apply appropriate adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies to minimize<br />

the impact of climate change.<br />

For livestock producti<strong>on</strong>, it is necessary to enhance<br />

understanding and to predict the future producti<strong>on</strong><br />

of meat and dairy products under climate change<br />

c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s are needed.<br />

Socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic Sector<br />

In Thailand, as a developing country, the issue of<br />

climate change has been given little attenti<strong>on</strong> with<br />

a more reactive approach rather proactive <strong>on</strong>e;<br />

specifically if it is compared to the development<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cerns such as poverty alleviati<strong>on</strong>, ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

growth and envir<strong>on</strong>mental degradati<strong>on</strong>. But, climate<br />

change is str<strong>on</strong>gly linked with ec<strong>on</strong>omic activities<br />

central in modern societies: energy producti<strong>on</strong><br />

and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>, transportati<strong>on</strong>, and so <strong>on</strong>.<br />

Therefore, it should not be dissociated from the<br />

fundamental c<strong>on</strong>cerns of human society, such as<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>al ec<strong>on</strong>omic planning, public administrati<strong>on</strong><br />

and human development (Permpibul and Routray,<br />

2009).<br />

Also, as has been seen in the studies reviewed, the<br />

role of community level measures has declined or<br />

been neglected for household level and nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

level (Snidv<strong>on</strong>gs, 2006). Current resp<strong>on</strong>ses to<br />

extreme climatic events are viewed more as disaster<br />

preparedness and mitigati<strong>on</strong> opportunities rather<br />

than as warning signals of much needed l<strong>on</strong>g-term<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Existing climate change models do not<br />

provide c<strong>on</strong>clusive assessments of the associated<br />

impacts at local levels. Therefore there is a need<br />

for a bottom-up approach to address the level of<br />

vulnerability to the existing and future impacts<br />

to improve adaptati<strong>on</strong> alt local level in the l<strong>on</strong>g-<br />

103

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