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Desktop Study on - Regional Climate Change Adaptation ...

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Assessment of Capacity Gaps and Needs of South East Asia Countries<br />

in Addressing Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> Variability and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Figure 2: Nati<strong>on</strong>al level synthesis <strong>on</strong> vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong> – an approach<br />

Stage 4<br />

Sector<br />

Sector<br />

Stage 1<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Vulnerability<br />

Food Security<br />

Water Resources<br />

Socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

Demographic Pressure<br />

Exploitati<strong>on</strong> of Natural Resources<br />

Emissi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Country<br />

Specific<br />

<strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong><br />

Inititatives<br />

Regi<strong>on</strong>al / Nati<strong>on</strong>al /<br />

Sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al climate<br />

strategies<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Scenarios<br />

Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Pilots<br />

Mainstreaming<br />

Country<br />

Sectors<br />

Projects<br />

Barriers<br />

Socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic C<strong>on</strong>flicts<br />

Gaps at all levels<br />

Stage 5<br />

Stage 2<br />

Instituti<strong>on</strong>al Capacity<br />

Public Outreach<br />

Stage 3<br />

Disaster Risk Management<br />

Vulnerability Analysis<br />

Source: Authors of this report<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic sectors; (ii) identify the less<strong>on</strong>s learnt,<br />

to share am<strong>on</strong>g member countries for capacity<br />

building activities; (iii) highlight gaps in country<br />

level knowledge and capacity in the implementati<strong>on</strong><br />

of vulnerability assessments; and (iv) identify<br />

effective tools and methodologies, capacity building,<br />

and instituti<strong>on</strong>al support modalities for vulnerability<br />

assessments and adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities.<br />

A total of fifteen (15) key studies, each for Lao<br />

PDR, Viet Nam, the Philippines, Ind<strong>on</strong>esia,<br />

Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar and Malaysia, with<br />

a focus <strong>on</strong> water, agriculture and food security,<br />

and socioec<strong>on</strong>omic adaptati<strong>on</strong> and climate change<br />

related impacts in the last decade were reviewed. .<br />

In order to exemplify the review/ or study process,<br />

a country level approach was followed to synthesize<br />

country level data, informati<strong>on</strong> and knowledge<br />

towards adaptati<strong>on</strong> methods, technologies, best<br />

practices and mainstreaming approach to pave<br />

a way forward in the significant developmental<br />

endeavour of vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong> study. A<br />

three pr<strong>on</strong>ged process covering regi<strong>on</strong>al, country<br />

specific climate adaptati<strong>on</strong> initiatives and local,<br />

sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al and nati<strong>on</strong>al levels were followed. The<br />

overall approach and processes pertaining to all<br />

these steps were embraced with external factors to<br />

keep the perspectives, while analyzing the data and<br />

informati<strong>on</strong> gathered. To c<strong>on</strong>duct the synthesis, a<br />

five-stage process was followed.<br />

Stage 1 in Figure 2 reviews the historical weather<br />

data that are analyzed to understand its significance<br />

in terms of climate change. Historical data are<br />

important as they are used to establish the change at<br />

sectoral levels such as water, agriculture and socioec<strong>on</strong>omic.<br />

Impacts <strong>on</strong> these sectors are of varying<br />

degrees in terms of climate parameters such as,<br />

rainfall amount, number of rainy days, temperature,<br />

intense rainfall leading to floods and changes in<br />

tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e characteristics and frequencies.<br />

Stage 2 focuses <strong>on</strong> the impacts of future climatic<br />

c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s under projected climate change scenarios<br />

through their vulnerabilities <strong>on</strong> food security,<br />

water resources and socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic sectors. Since,<br />

knowledge <strong>on</strong> uncertainty in climate predicti<strong>on</strong>s is<br />

yet to be proven, as seen from available informati<strong>on</strong><br />

and knowledge, some aspects of downscaled climate<br />

data and scenarios are covered. While analyzing<br />

this top down process, where adaptati<strong>on</strong> is imposed<br />

from outside without much c<strong>on</strong>sultati<strong>on</strong> or<br />

interacti<strong>on</strong> (and being science driven), an evaluati<strong>on</strong><br />

of external factors such as, anticipated implicati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

of demographic pressure and exploitati<strong>on</strong> of natural<br />

resources are reviewed to ground the sectoral<br />

approach for a reality check and to find a way<br />

and status of the countries from an aut<strong>on</strong>omous<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> to planned adaptati<strong>on</strong> (or adaptive<br />

capacities).<br />

11

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