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Daniel l. Rubinfeld

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52 Part 1 Introduction: Markets and Prices<br />

2 The Basics of Supply and Demand 53<br />

Price -45<br />

(dollars per -41<br />

barrel) -40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

zH-<br />

Figure 220 shmys, this is indeed vvhat happened following the sharp decline in<br />

Iranian and Iraqi production in 1979-1980. History mayor may not repeat<br />

itself, but if it does, we can at least predict the impact on oil prices. 14<br />

w<br />

')~<br />

..:...:J<br />

20<br />

18<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

0 5 10 15 20 23 25 30 35<br />

Quantity (billion barrels/yr)<br />

(a)<br />

In the United States and most other industrial countries, markets are rarely free<br />

of government intervention. Besides imposing taxes and granting subsidies,<br />

go\-errunents often regulate markets (even competitive markets) in a variety of<br />

ways. In this section we will see hm'\' to use supply and demand curves to analvz~<br />

the effects of one common form of government intervention: price controls.<br />

Later, in Chapter 9, vve will examine the effects of price controls and other forms<br />

of government inten-ention and regulation in more detaiL<br />

Figure 2.22 illustrates the effects of price controls. Here, Po and Qo are the<br />

equilibrililll price and quantity that would prevail without government regulation.<br />

Price -45<br />

(dollars per<br />

barrel) -40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

T _J<br />

20<br />

18<br />

15<br />

Price<br />

5<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

0 5 10 15 20 23 25 30 35<br />

Quantity (billion barrels/yr)<br />

(b)<br />

The total supply is the sum of competitive (non-OPEC) supply and the 10 bb/yr of<br />

OPEC supply. Part (a) shows the short-run supply and demand curves. If Saudi<br />

Arabia stops producing, the supply curve will shift to the left by 3 bb/yr. In the shortrun,<br />

price will increase sharply. Part (b) shows long-run curves. In the long run,<br />

because demand and competitive supply are much more elastic, the impact on price<br />

will be much smaller.<br />

***<br />

P max<br />

~-.--+---~ I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

.~ I<br />

------r Excess Demand<br />

I<br />

I<br />

Quantity<br />

Without price controls, the market clears at the equilibrium price and quantity Po<br />

and Qo. If price is regulated to be no higher than P maX' the quantity supplied falls to<br />

Qj, the quantity demanded increases to Q2' and a shortage develops.<br />

can obtain recent data and learn more about the world oil market by accessing the Web sites of<br />

the American Petroleum Institute at \\\\"iiilpiorg or the US Energy Information Administration at<br />

ei(1,doe.go\

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